50% win rate is only random accuracy if your risk to reward ratio comes out at 1:1 50% with 2:1, and just 1 trade per week is >2 Sharpe ratio. 50% with 3:1, and just 1 trade per week is >3 Sharpe ratio. So you will be one of the best traders in the world if you can find just one trade per week with 50% as long as you can maintain a good risk to reward ratio.
Ideally, five trades per week - one per day. Capture the singular, large, move of the day on the chart. 50% accuracy are for amateurs who don't know what to hunt for and expect. More professional traders, who are more precise, should aim for 75% or higher accuracy. The only way to generate a higher risk to reward ratio are with options. Or it certainly helps your cause when you are accurate. Nearer term expiration options are more volatile. If all of these elements are in play...that's like the perfect trading storm to get rich fast in the market.
The future cant be predicted that well very often. Maybe a few times a year you can call a market with 75% accuracy (assuming at least 1:1 RR). But once you start making calls every day or even every week, your accuracy will drop closer to 50%. Which means you have let you profits run. The way active traders get 75%+ win rate is by going for smaller profits than losses. Eating like a bird and shitting like an elephant, or picking up pennies in front of a steam roller.
You changed your tune, since the last time we spoke... https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/i-seek-students-of-the-game.372484/