Guys, I finally decided to request to have my account closed here at ET. Most won't care, some will be delighted (whom I may have...
you do not need to buy it, though you should put the work into it. If you ever put the minimum effort into something that really puzzled you then...
(a) the OP did not ask about the bottom line (b) the OP did not ask about the "goodness" of a trading system (c) you should open your own thread...
I stated very early on my agreement with Euclid that its close to 70%. And answering this has NOTHING whatsoever to do with any possible...
the probability is a measure that describes the likelihood of an event occurring, while you are talking about the realization of an event. Two...
absolutely second that!!!
gosh I think some of you people are seriously too dumb or simply lack reading capabilities to discuss a topic intelligently. Long time ago it...
what?????????????????? Out of which a.. did you pull those assumptions? Seriously, I think you just clearly disqualified yourself from further...
what does it matter if someone put in a small error the concept is correct, the correct value is around 0.69 (did not calculate any specific...
Maybe the OP should really re-phrase the whole problem. I disagree with your interpretation and maybe thats why there are such diverse answers....
the most logical answer so far, imho. I correct my earlier answer of 60%, it should be slightly more than 60% because you add two strategies that...
this is the worst and most wrong thing I EVER heard. That you find strategies that have an edge in ISOLATION is what every quant desk is looking...
you dont understand the original problem. The question posed is different from asking what the probability is that both signals come up at the...
so you are telling us the combine win prob is 36%? How can this be? I already disproved you. If strat1 wins 100/100 and strat2 60/100, you claim...
sorry but you now disappoint me because what you said is bollocks, it has nothing whatsoever to do with the problem at hand. This is a...
I think you may also not fully grasp the original problem. You do not have different outcomes. There is only ONE outcome, WIN OR LOSE, the...
why dont you model it in Excel? Generate 10000 random numbers between [1..10]. Simulate each a winning trade if 5<=x<=10 is generated, a losing...
you are wrong bro, here is why: (1) lets say strat1 has probability 1 of winning (2) strat2 has probability 0.5 of winning (3) only take a...
first of all you changed your original problem several times and this points to the fact you dont fully understand what you like to ask. My...
sorry but I am afraid you may not get my point. As mentioned, for each profession a lot of specific talents and traits are necessary. But without...
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