since i trade front month options mostly, yes these have little time to expiration. as butterflies i benefit from time decay. by having extra...
i trade 98% options on stocks. 2% index options. i trade 90% front month options. if there is any running theme to my trading it is "buy the...
shows you how long its been since i was on the floor. man that rule used to stick me all the time. i just scoped around the cboe site and it...
another thing to note is that wherever your order is routed, if it is an exchange, the market makers will be obligated to meet a fill at that...
ah i see what i did. i plugged in a value for expected return (of +8.5% or the approximate long term return on the index). that does skew the...
you're basically wrong on this assumption. also i was using implied not historic vol. it's pretty conclusively demonstrated that implied...
it's been a while since i took a stats class but i'm pretty sure i'm correct on this. in fact i just rechecked with the hoadley function for...
way too many other preoccupations
usually it's because the MM can take off risk on a position with the trade. or it might simply be a scalp on a previous trade. sometimes it's...
you can follow any of my comments on this board by just clicking on my post history. the point of view that most matches mine on these boards...
what i meant by my comment that gamblers are good for my trading is that in general if someone does not know how options operate they are creating...
you're kidding right? what options pro would ever look at "buy/sell" ratios (whatever that is)? even if anyone ever did look at trade volume for...
anyone can come up with examples of how astronomical returns COULD be made. e.g. i could show how if you pick the lottery numbers correctly you...
that particular quote was half hyperbole, half supposition based on experience. i don't have any hard data but years of personal experience and...
not sure you are asking this the right way. basically if you are a winning trader you are more prudent thinking it's ALL due to luck until you can...
that's still incredible. if you can get off bets with any size and keep this performance, screw options trading , you can make a living at the track!
if you can back up your boast fine. as i wrote in one of my earlier posts "whatever works, works." but that doesn't change my opinion of the...
parimutual betting like on horse races is a very good analogy to the options market: zero-sum, negative expectancy because of the house take. and...
yeah i'm probably running ahead of somebody. how would you interpret this from "Stock Options Made Easy" thread on 10-9-05? sure sounds like...
if someone wins 90% of the time consistently it is likely not luck. but who knows, there are some that argue warren buffett is a beneficiary of...
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