You have a bunch of D-list bucket shops ... and then, DE Shaw - a solid top tier buy side firm.... You need to seriously reconsider your move...
Do you have a point of sort? So long as the quotes used for valuation was actionable at that time, who cares what the motivation for those quotes...
Just because the public at large can't see it doesn't mean these marks aren't at all transparant. There are numerous circulations of live...
Yes. I explicitly considered the fact that the host knows the truth and made a decision based on it. It's what the "conditional" part. As for...
I see where you are going wrong. You have correctly computed the unconditional probability of these events. What you are missing is that when you...
I'm not trying to be rude, but will you write out the four branches in words? I'm having a hard time following what you are doing - with the...
Stop. I have an advanced degree in a field that makes ample use of game theory and statistics (to establish that I do, in fact, know what I'm...
Don't be silly. The monte hall problem is a classic illustration of Bayesian reasoning: the idea that you start with a belief about something....
The has been an interesting thread. We've established that certain individuals (1) Have no understanding of conditional probabilities (2)...
I believe it. I've conducted some truely unbelieveable interviews. Those guys either lied on their resume or.... well.... they looked good on...
No. Afraid you don't make any sense. The Monty Hall problem is well established. It always pays to switch. it's not a statistical argument - it's...
You want to trade for an investment bank.... and you transfered to a community college? You are done. Not in the sense that the trade is done, but...
Yeah - mortgage sales and fixed income sales aren't anywhere close to each other. FI sales deal with institutional clients (ie, hedge funds and...
This part sounds right. fixed income salesmen aren't idiots. While I'm not entirely sure how accurate this work with client to "create" a solution...
Fixed income pure cash sales is a dying business to some degree. But, the smart salesmen have retooled themselves to sell credit derivatives along...
Hey BnB, if you are doing so well, you wouldn't mind holding an event to promote your site in NYC would you? Rent out a club for an evening,...
Anywhere from 3 hours to a few days to a week and half (normal) to a few weeks (not abnormal), to, of course, never. Usually, job...
Oh. Okay. Yeah, you can obviously replicate a variance swap (in theory) on your own with a bundle of options. But I wonder whether bid/offer...
Chances are he can't trade variance swaps. They are OTC. That being said, 60-70% accurate is a warning sign. You need to perform a binomial...
There are risk quants. They analyze risk. It's anything but simple. There are quant developers - they build pricing and analytical tools. And...
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