interesting thought process I would say the strategy should beat random entry by 75% time at least to give me confidence in the strategy what are...
difficult to tell as we don't have a database where all traders report their expectancy.
currently I am trading a system with expectancy range 0.35 to 0.5 so 0.47 is not bad but you have to deal with drawdown sometime. Of course if you...
@mdszj the avg win and avg loss always need to be reward to risk ratio where risk needs to be made as 1 and then you calculate so in your case...
hey I just noticed your calculation is wrong expectancy is 0.47 and not 0.95 for this data 52% win 48% loss avg win 3.74% avg loss 2.04% Now this...
0.95 expectancy is very good. It should not have big draw down. The average win and avg loss might be off. any change in there there will be a big...
1:2.5 risk to reward and 36% winner your expectancy is 0.26 not that great...but average as you are day trading your trade frequency will be...
what is your average risk to reward per trade ?
how about a dislike/disagree button first ???
u can't calculate this with one day worth of trades ...it is meaningless u need big enough sample size ... may be take all trades in last 6 months...
What you say is disadvantage may be a non issue to somebody. One of the major problems in we humans is we tend to generalize too much. I have been...
as the range is 70 to 90 I will take average 80% winner risk to reward 1:2 your expectancy is ((80*2) - (20 *1))/100 = 1.4 this system is no...
this is vague ..give me concrete numbers so that I can make sense of this comment ?? like.. 75% win rate with Risk to Reward 1:1 or 80% win rate...
Is this a new idea you are working with ? or Is this something that you have been working for a while ? if yes how is your result so far? If I...
@tomorton I have used the exact same idea years ago and then discarded it [ATTACH] as you can see on paper it looks very good ...but you have to...
for swing trader it is less than 2 or 1 percent but for intraday trader it is much higher ..but I think 30% is max .. anything more is not...
u have been telling the same thing again again in various posts .... but you never talk about risk reward ratio... a low probability trade always...
I agree with others that the TA system should be same on all TFs theoretically. however there is some difference i.e impact cost and execution...
yes much more leverage without paying interest to broker ... also no dependency on stocks available to borrow for shorting.. no risk of getting...
they are yet to catch steam ... I thought may be CME or ICE will do it better as they have better experience
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