i heard joe biden is going transsexual ...
hm. thnx for the patience. i struggle with this: "A hint: Number 2 and 3 result in "0" loss/gain. So you can reduce the problem to this 3...
i do not see how the result 0 can have 1/3 probability with two paths from four leading there. in my eyes 0 has 50% chance, the others 25%. you...
my point is: since your assumption cancels out 50% of the paths you CANNOT throw cases 2 and 3 in one basket.
and the comparison to the twins does not hold water, since you cancel out not only Girl Girl but Girl Boy either. your assumption is that the...
"... If you knew that this stock has in fact gained $1 a share (moderator affect) what is the probability that this stock will gain another $1 a...
well, if your losing systems have streaks, meaning they show significant positive auto correlation, then you might be able to build a positive...
and: NO way of capitalizing on it. random in random out. no moderator know how entering on any level, no shift of any odds.
all prior and conditional likelihoods are 50%, so the final conditional is 50% as well. it is like coin tossing. there is no probability...
my point is that if you have an effect on a stock that as forecasting quality, be it from the stock itself or from exogenous data, you have a...
even two thousand emails from traders all over the world are nill compared to the voters who cry for security. don't waste your time. nil...
there is a funny thing about this. overall you are right. the vehicle as such cannot create value. but what is interesting is the fact that the...
hmm. the best explanation i ever heard is this. when you have three doors in the beginning and you pick one, then the likelihood of having the...
don't know how to write this. i have seen many people with great runs. your biggest enemy right now is your belief of invincibility. self...
i bet some smart trader at one of these banks that "changed their business model" is right now making a fortune. just imagine the insider talk...
the real problem with CDS is that their birth happened before regulators and risk managers became aware of what is going on. many swaps require...
even if they are not allowed to do certain things, i doubt that the regulations become effective overnight. i mean assume half of the big shops...
good post. the banks often argue that by creating cds and having them traded they create liquidity for the debt of the underlying company. i...
i don't know either, i am just guessing. if, as in "B", the bank has less pressure, so it has all the interest that the guys stay in and...
the banks created their own hedge fund like vehicles called CDOs and alikes and sold it to customers who need a rating and think in...
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