Prediction for 10/12 INTC- close lower. SL/PT = $0.8 AMD- close lower. SL/PT = $1.5 FB - close lower. SL/PT = $8 MSFT - close lower. SL/PT = $3.5
Unfortunately all the trade turn out to be loser. INTC: Lose AMD-Lose FB- Lose MSFT - Lose Current win rate = 0%
Or you can set the stop loss and target using the standard variation (1:1 ratio)
The model won't work for index
Calculate the standard deviation (aka Volatility), the Risk/Reward is 1:1.
I have to keep the model as "trade" secret. Inputs will be from different sources (not just purely standard close/open/high/low price)
10/9 Prediction INTC - close lower AMD - close lower FB - close lower MSFT - close lower Note: "INTC - close lower" means the model predict INTC...
Currently I have developed a new model (not technical nor fundamental) that able to predict the price direction for particular stock in the next...
What is MFE and MAE?
May I know how many trades you have done so far? What is you risk/reward ratio?
2 to 3 % of commission & slippage already nail down that you can't win in long term Look at roulette, ask yourself do you ever see anyone win the...
Ngmm.. Short volatility trading. I have been in trading for nearly 18 years and have seen a lot of short volatility trader, unfortunately the...
Missing one piece of information, what is your average risk/reward ratio ?
Depend on the risk/reward of your trades.
Do you ever profit by this "range bond" strategy (sell low buy high) ? If not, PM me and I will tell you why. Don't want to comment here as we...
Simple story. Just let both camp look at the Dow Jones indices from yesterday using same chart, let say daily chart. Trend Trader - Long. Buy...
In theory - yes In real life, it is almost impossible to say if the market is trend or range bond. You can only know the market is trend or range...
This will work well in trending market. You will lose big in ranging market. Unfortunately you will lose in long term as the market will trend...
+31%, about +3% per month, one month ( June) down 4% due to emotional trading...
Very good post, it is quite a while i never see good quality post in ET
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