I.am.biased.in the.sense I have thought.for quite some time the Euro will crumble eventually. Eventually could mean years. Or it could mean next...
I don't know. But I would guess if it is a fact and Germany says tough luck, its pretty big.
I am going to.wait and.see what happens in the first 30-60 minuttes tomorrow. If the Euro is walking forward to the edge of the cliff and Germany...
even though unconfirmed rumor it makes too much sense. I think Spain is on the hook too. problem Central Bankers not exactly the full disclosure...
since your time stamps are within 2 minutes of each other you probably didn't see volente's comment prior to replying ti my post which is...
if on the off chance, and I don't think it will happen (but possible)' treasuries decline dramatically and stay declined then all bets are off....
given the extent of volatility last week, AFTER we didn't default, makes it hard for me to believe that Goldie and some of the others didn't know....
I think we are in agreement. I don't think Asia owns the west. it's the economic equivalent of nuclear deterrent between the U.S. and China imo....
the long bond market doesn't need an S&P downgrade to raise interest rates on long treasuries or any type of treasuries. the bond market controls...
I honestly didn't think they would do it. After they reached an agreement not to alow to default, iI thought they'd drop the idea. after all S&P...
I was thinking of more of the outliers like 10/87 or the crash of late 08 carrying into the first quarter of 09. But, in general I agree with...
Good trade!
Where is the origination of this "talk." If you are getting it off of CNBC or one of their counterparts, most all their sponsors want one thing -...
But upon occassion houses act under tremendous fear and panic also.
So are you saying, "no scaling in." which is a common practice among traders?
But I should probably qualify as to calling tops or bottoms or sustained long term moves in any direction, I don't know any more than anyone else....
And may I add, you were full disclosure - totally honest. You didn't run and hide or try to fudge anything once trades were made.
Actually, if the VIX rockets further, I'll do what I don't normally do and sell a SPY straddle or two - being ready to buy wings as conditions...
Another thing I am looking at is on the SPX the 50 day SMA is pointing down and close (15-20 points) to the 200 day SMA which is flattening out....
Thanks!!!:)
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