The 20% swing is not the move that GOOG needs for this trade to be a loser. Why? Because the 92% refers solely to the expiry date, and a lot can...
The problem with your GOOG IC trade is that you don’t have an edge, despite 8 pages of conversation. All we know from what you have said is that...
In your backtesting & experience, what is the best way to use OTM Calls, in terms of 1) how far OTM, 2) expiry (open with how many days to expiry)...
Thanks IronChef. I can‘t say I disagree with any of that. It still seems to me that bet size is the much smaller part of the problem; the larger...
Do you have a better approach than Kelly? I would be very interested to hear. It’s a nice problem to have! Being faced with a 60% probability bet...
Perhaps I can be slightly clearer in my comment. Betting on a coin with a 60% probability of coming up heads, you should bet 20% of your bank IF...
If I had a coin that came up heads 60 percent of the time, how much should I bet?No more than 2% of Total Liquid Net Worth (TLNW) This is not a...
This is a great topic, I hope it doesn’t die prematurely. Thanks for starting it Lukas, and thanks for your comments about your rules. Well done...
Thanks for your comments, Xela. Much appreciated. I still see a disconnect though, between Brooks being a vendor like anyone else (albeit with...
I was really excited when I saw the title of this thread. Unfortunately, reading it top to bottom reveals that 90% of it has nothing to do with...
The instructor is most likely telling you that 1% is the maximum loss you should take on any single trade. Its not bad advice. Many books mention...
If we can forget for a moment that OP is an experienced swing trader, can anyone help out with the other part of his question, on learning how to...
I would suggest you do it. The most important thing is motivation because its a lot of work, so being very interested in the subject matter is a...
Hi apo99, Welcome to ET. I am a newbie here aswell. I have worked in L/S fundamental equity for the past 10 years, but am having a break now,...
Q1: Yes. First comes 'Consensus EPS'. This is the average of all analysts, for a given reporting period, trying to forecast the company's results....
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