Individual examples are meaningless. A statistically significant number of examples are needed to determine expectancy. Inherently, then, your...
If there is a time/price span between optimal exit and optimal reverse entry, then you have not precisely pinpointed one or the other or both.
Thank you, illiquid. I just read this whole thread waiting for someone to make that point. You CANNOT rationally support scaling in and not...
Who the fuck knows? What drives any buying in any market? We'll probably find out eventually.
No one I know really pays attention to NOAA's long-term forecasts. Also, I really don't think much of the oil/natgas relationship. The...
Even assuming you're right, it doesn't follow that this move is, for some reason, unsustainable. It doesn't support your bear case whatsoever.
I'm not saying anything about where the market will go, but in my very humble opinion, you make a lot of unwarranted assumptions in your analysis....
Is that your criteria for identifying a "fake?"
"its will start to get very bearish in the cash startingthe second week of nov into the end of the month." That won't necessarily be bearish...
Why do you think it's a "panic" of any sort? Why isn't just an up day in natty. This is not a move of unusual size in natty.
I don't see anything that would make me think that.
I agree that getting into trading without good programming skills SEVERELY limits your options and income potential. As far as how much you...
I tend not to try to reason these things out. I simply look at the past pattern of numbers versus price and infer accordingly. However, to...
I'm actually still bullish based, in part, on the CoT. The primary use of the CoT, I believe, is to compare all the groups' current position...
I agree with rosy2. I am a market maker.
Globex Nymex is down. It is unclear when it will reopen.
See what I mean about cash? HH prices have shot up 42% this week, and futures have gone up also. There is no predictive value in the spread in...
Man, this just sounds like purposeful disinformation.
With yesterday's move, I'd expect a test of 7.70. IMHO.
Okay, but you still don't know how convergence will take place. The futures could move up and HH gas could move up even more to catch up with it....
Separate names with a comma.