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  1. Ag trade ideas

    @Vyki A short statistical point : correlation shouldnt be done between non stationary series (i.e. prices). If you do so, you will have a lot of...
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Aug 28, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  2. Ag trade ideas

    @Vyki Nice article. But I wonder if index fund should be spotted in the CTFC non commercial spreading open interest because they do spread...
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Aug 26, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  3. Ag trade ideas

    I just enter long DEC/short MAR. Last expiries went deeeply in in backwardation and there is no positive seasonality for contango.
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Aug 26, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  4. Ag trade ideas

    My screen is red Commodities are in macro mode Given the still big position of funds in grains/oilseed, I feel bearish
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Aug 24, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  5. Ag trade ideas

    With the current front months in backwardation, I am afraid of beeing long contango. Maybe I will trade the butterfly -JAN + 2 MAR - MAY Soybean...
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Aug 24, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  6. Ag trade ideas

    @ -10 I get raped by this one. I still dont get why KW should 10 cts/bu cheaper than ZW. DEC16 spread makes sense but nearby expiries are strange,...
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Aug 24, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  7. 8/12/15 USDA report

    I just check on IB data and the selling began at 11 am. So maybe your clock was 1 minute late.
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Aug 14, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  8. Ag trade ideas

    There is a strong downward seasonality between AUG/DEC. Its kind of classic even if it really big this year.
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Aug 11, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  9. Ag trade ideas

    Russian wheat is really ok, it shoud be around 56 MT which is quite good. I think its already too late to get a bad crop. Grains/oleaginous can go...
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Aug 11, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  10. Ag trade ideas

    Use Market Order :)
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Aug 11, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  11. Brokers with global coverage on Ag

    RJO is damned shit 200 mails sent, 6 months spent and i dont trade yet
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Aug 7, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  12. Ag trade ideas

    (at 20.5)
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Aug 7, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  13. US Cropland prices finally coming down

    I think that most of the pasture land is much lower quality land. You get poor yield if you grow corn/soy on pasturland. Sometimes its because of...
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Aug 7, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  14. Ag trade ideas

    Short KW DEC15 - long KW SEP15 at 10.5 on seasonality, high level and lower contango from ZW
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Aug 7, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  15. Ag trade ideas

    I have sometimes bad and good feelings about my trades, however I dont know yet if it's relevant information so I mostly don't use it. Most of my...
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Jul 28, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  16. Ag trade ideas

    Soycomplex is behaving like when US stocks are low (light backwardation). Markets is USDA told us stocks are high... Yeah, their spread are...
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Jul 23, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  17. Cash prices

    I dont have a lot of cash prices so it doesn't help me a lot. It helped me once when I saw that US competitivity was really low compared to EU. I...
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Jul 23, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  18. Weather data & maps

    The best - http://www.worldagweather.com Canada - http://www5.agr.gc.ca/DW-GS/current-actuelles.jspx?lang=eng&jsEnabled=true Europe/Maris -...
    Post by: Rachmaninov, Jul 22, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures

  19. Weather data & maps

    New thread on ag weather data & maps
    Thread by: Rachmaninov, Jul 22, 2015, 11 replies, in forum: Commodity Futures

  20. Ag trade ideas

    Post by: Rachmaninov, Jul 22, 2015 in forum: Commodity Futures
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