Blox, Welcome, and I must say, of the get-go, I like the way you are thinking. You are not bogged down with the fact that this is a thought...
Olias, Not to put words in the other poster's mouths, but, in my opinion, I look analyzing a system's results compared to a system that is...
Umm, true, but how many traders consider their results in light of inflation? Anyone? So, 1 point for creativity, -1 point for the red herring...
Awesome Mike! We'll see if some of the nay sayers can connect the dots... Masterjaz
Mike, Yeah, just seeing if he can rise above his pubescent attacks but I am doubtful. Maybe, just maybe, he/she/it can add something useful to...
Sure, but it seems you are a clueless individual. I'll try this once, and only once, hopefully with less personal attacks and increased factual...
Goodgoing, Care to enlighten me as to how my examples preclude me from trading? Also, instead of just saying JScott is wrong, why not explain...
I must respectfully disagree. I provided two examples in this thread where 'coin-flipping' can be used to in a trading environment. Now, I am...
TradingJournals, Here is my thoughts on the arcsine law. I'm sure Ninna will provide a better explaination, but me putting into words helps...
That's his argument. He says the market has memory and he can model the next price move based on the prior price move minus any 'random news'......
Agreed, that's the way I've been leaning as of late...due exactly to this topic and these results...we'll see if it works. Masterjaz
Actually should be .xlsx
Random results [IMG] Cannot upload spreadsheet, but here's all you need. In 1 cell (A1) use formula =rand() in next column (use B1)...
Hi Mike and Others, A simple comparison, BVF vs. an excel spreadsheet. 50-50 probability with +1 for win, -1 for loss. Sum them up, plot it...
N = 2 Surprise Now, suppose you must decide when to stop and choose between only two slips of paper or two cards. You turn one over, observe a...
Okay, so back to improving a 'coin flip/50-50' method. Today, for example, I bought NQ at 1791.75 and sold at 1819.00. My current idea is to...
Sounds good. I also a general downtrend for the 1300-1400EST time period, although with much chop...Look forward to the PM. M
Open to close, 0930 EST to 1400 EST. EDIT: The plot is cumulative points for ~900 trading days (horizontal axis) if you go long the open and...
Now we have the 5dma for only the 0930 to 0945 period. A couple things to note: 1) period overall is a poor time to be long--go short! 2) Red...
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