At $50MM and assuming a fee load of 1%, this ETF would only generate $500k in fees; That needs to be split with distributors (can be as high as...
Why time sq? As a life long new Yorker, I'm very curiouswhy out of towners pick there? Its crowded, expensive, and entirely a tourist trap. Is it...
And in a circle we go. Okay okay, I get it, you are just asking questions. I'm beginning to get the image that you are just a lonely old man...
Christ... we are talking about a biased coin toss (that you proposed)... again, you change the subject like a slippery flish. Your views are...
What are you talking about? Who am I? I think you are just really mad that it's clear you have no idea what you are talking about when it comes...
Hold on... we are talking about independent tosses right?... what does it matter if it 'trends' or not??? Or are you guy who bets large at the...
Yeah... but it's so far just a normal nor' easter kind of thing; So far, it's not going to impact manhattan unless there's something unforseen.
Dude... having autocorrelation or serial dependence doesn't imply predictability - see ar(1) processes for example. Also, IBM stock prices at...
I currently live in the heart of darkness (wrong side of 39th street). Everything's going to be back to normal in a few weeks - we are getting...
ET is truely home of the ballers.
You don't understand... and you are unable to understand the math? Is that what you are staying? Just to be sure? FInally, if you notice, I too...
Um.... hence, I said multiple horizons. Shorter time-frame == tick level - go ahead and run the autocorrelation between last traded price for IBM...
Are you... joking? Almost all market prices exhibit autocorrelation at multiple time frames, especially as you decrease the time frame. Are you...
Careful... this is only true if the game exhibits indepdence between plays. If it doesn't (like the market), then betting strategies will change...
You are just rambling now... you are the one who stated that you don't believe mathematicians because they disagree with your common sense. A...
... we are talking about coin tosses, not trading, right? Are you shifting the subject because you realize that you can't really defend your...
So what? that probability doesn't change every time you toss a coin. There's an optimal amount you are supposed to bet everything time,...
You are indeed the first person to ever think of this. Brilliant.
Doesn't help the OP though.... JH's method is more like the deconstructionists in comp lit departments.
You really can't - without taking on some other form of risk. If it were possible, then you can construct an arbitrage trade where you can capture...
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