EV of first toss: 0.5 X - 0.5 X -costs EV of second toss: 0.5 Y - 0.5 Y-costs ... EV of Nth toss: 0.5 N - 0.5 N-costs Sum of EV: 0 - sum of...
Exactly!. It beats 95% of traders. That's the point.
So first you want proof and now a guarantee?. Is that it?. Do you want a 19 year old big titted blonde that gives good head as well?.
If you started trading in 2007 it doesn't look so much long biased.
I did. Let's see if someone else can make a proof that you like better. (I wouldn't hold my breath if I were you).
You could throw heads or tails any day and blow your account in the next 5 minutes. What then?.
You could throw heads for a week straight in this market and blow your account to hell. What then?
Everything you said in this post is correct. Yet what I said is correct as well. Paradoxical uh? You will have to prove to yourself and...
You are a liar. You will have to prove to yourself and others that your suggestions bring in at least 1 tic per day on average extra profit...
It doesn't have to even out. Over a large number of samples the expectation converges to a loss equal to commissions and slippage. If you don't...
You don't see gravity either. Jump out the window and feel its effects. Make it a second floor of a building at most, otherwise you may kill yourself.
On the contrary. I'm here to learn to make 5 points per day from you. I think Nodoji is a titan in the making.
My anecdotal experience is that markets last about the same number of days going up and going down, but on average the SP goes up more per day...
TAILS today again. Short.
I believe Martingale does not work in a random normal distribution, and is lethal in a fat-tailed distribution (like the markets). LTCM was...
Since each win or loss has a 50% chance of going the other way, by definition, regardless of SIZE, the aggregate does too by commutative...
I see. Well, in MY world a martian speaking in morse code is useful IF he is speaking the truth and that truth has an edge. He spoke one clear...
"You will have to prove to yourself and others that your suggestions bring in at least 1 tic per day on average extra profit over the original...
Well, in his defense he contributed a self-evident truth that is not gibberish. Namely he said that exponentially compounding an edge over an...
But... you can prove or disprove the above to yourself and others by Montecarlo-ing the past. Plenty of data. You'll need a coin-tosser however.
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