cash. I don't think the S&P cash can go up 20 pts in the next week. I'd still like to hear from just21 and esmjb with reference to this...
congrats on good work! I don't agree that there is 20 more points of upside on the S&P left in January (don't trade the es, but they're...
let's speak plain english here-- for everyones sake. My question is: OK, what your probability for the S&P NOT seeing 1300 thru 7/1/06?
OK, what your probability for the S&P NOT seeing 1300 thru 7/1/06?
great, so you agree with me! so sell 100's of June 1300 calls @ 30, and 100's of June 1350 calls @ 11 you're going to be rich! now don't...
sir, stop with your stupid computer generated probabilites, and think of what I say above. try to think logically about what you are asserting....
I would think so. another way to put it, if you think its only 1/3 that the S&P will hit either 1300 or 1240, you're saying it's a 2/3...
jokes aside, you erred in your calculation. What you don't factor in is the time premium. For example, The S&P june 1300 calls trade for $30. The...
i'm gonna borrow a line from riskarb, and say, "go find your high school statistics teacher and beat the living hell out of him." So it's only...
you put what at 33%?
can I answer a question with a question? 1) what are the odds that the S&P trades between 1240-1300 for the entire first half of 2006? 2)...
I want to point out that the odds that the S&P does NOT see 1300 in the first 6 months of 2006 are 40 to 1. That's right, the odds are 40 to 1...
Is there anyone on "elite-trader" who disagrees with my assertion that the S&P will not see 1300 in the 1st half of 2006? Please stand up, be a...
i'm now saying this for the entire 6 month period. The S&P will not see 1300 in the 1st half of 2006. Anyway, i don''t like the "edit" change....
damn it, what happened to the "edit" function ?? I like the steelers in the super bowl, obviously.
the bird loves long odds, and I think I got a good one today. I betting that both underdogs, the steelers AND the panthers win. I'm getting 5.5 to...
Correct. Darn, I was hoping to get this answer from a few of the real psycho's on this board. This was not a "brain teaser", it is a "psycho"...
A brain teaser before a great day of football: This is not a trick question. It is as it reads. No one I know has gotten it right-including me....
Since I had no such thread entitled sell at 1200, you are in error, making you delusional to say the least. But, I can help you. Here's what you...
I tried to edit the above post, but time expired. What I wanted to say is that I really would like to help the newbies. Anytime a real question is...
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