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  1. Can linear regression analysis really predict the future?

    I'd have plenty of things to say or to ask about in this conversation, but I have one question to you MAESTRO: d'you happen to be Nassim Taleb,...
    Post by: cfd_trader, Nov 10, 2009 in forum: Strategy Building

  2. Can linear regression analysis really predict the future?

    I guess I concur with most of what you're saying here. In fact it's not much in contradiction to what I posted earlier, to which you initially...
    Post by: cfd_trader, Nov 9, 2009 in forum: Strategy Building

  3. Can linear regression analysis really predict the future?

    MAESTRO, with such a pseudo you must be a master in all things therefore I shall not dare contradict your superior sayings. :D More seriously...
    Post by: cfd_trader, Nov 8, 2009 in forum: Strategy Building

  4. Can linear regression analysis really predict the future?

    What is the probability that the "random walk" of index/stock/futures prices is just that, "random", i.e. 100% random, 100% of the time? IMHO:...
    Post by: cfd_trader, Nov 7, 2009 in forum: Strategy Building

  5. Can linear regression analysis really predict the future?

    Yeah, and it's called the EMA20. :D Ok, long gone... => =>
    Post by: cfd_trader, Nov 5, 2009 in forum: Strategy Building

  6. Does a winning strategy have to work in all markets ?

    Not only do different Markets behave differently, but more over one single Market does behave differently over time... Therefore a single...
    Post by: cfd_trader, Nov 5, 2009 in forum: Strategy Building

  7. Window's of Opportunity

    Seems to me on the topic of trading systems that, just like it is safe to have uncorrelated instruments/stocks/... in one's portfolio to mitigate...
    Post by: cfd_trader, Nov 2, 2009 in forum: Strategy Building

  8. Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    Whisky, I guess one can always find a counter argument, and that's fine. As far as running robust enough and fast simulations, MT is by and...
    Post by: cfd_trader, Oct 22, 2009 in forum: Strategy Building

  9. Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    I don't think so, matter of fact here's a couple of abstracts: in trading simulation we couldn't care less about cryptography. In fact a RNG...
    Post by: cfd_trader, Oct 22, 2009 in forum: Strategy Building

  10. Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    You will have to prove to yourself and others that your suggestions bring in at least 1 tic per day on average extra profit over the original...
    Post by: cfd_trader, Oct 22, 2009 in forum: Strategy Building

  11. Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    To close on the previous prolonged debate in a graphical manner, I just wrote some (php) code to simulate the evolution of an Equity Curve over...
    Post by: cfd_trader, Oct 21, 2009 in forum: Strategy Building

  12. Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    AyeYo, it seems like you're confusing two issues. It is true that on average the up days are up by a larger amount than the down days....
    Post by: cfd_trader, Oct 21, 2009 in forum: Strategy Building

  13. Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    yeah, tell that to those who lost EVERYTHING because all their savings were located in a fund linked to Madoff...
    Post by: cfd_trader, Oct 21, 2009 in forum: Strategy Building

  14. Reality based coin-tosser method that beats 95% of traders in the world.

    Hey All! my first post here, after countless hours of reading, enjoying, learning, and laughing at times. In answer to Mike's post below:...
    Post by: cfd_trader, Oct 20, 2009 in forum: Strategy Building
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