Well ... That's 362DTE NFLX Using StdDev * 0.8. No volatility compounding. [ATTACH] Volatility compounding [ATTACH] Using MeanAvgDeviation. No...
Started in 2012 on & off. Never had a successful year. [IMG]
You can risk more over ticks than decades. What's more emotional ... 100x exposure over ticks or 0.1x exposure over decades ?
Currently I am trying MAD such as ema(|log_returns - sma_returns|). It's less sensitive to outliers because we don't square the deviation. The...
I need to start tinkering around simulations.
[IMG]
Are high volatility stocks straddle underpriced ? Let's say the stock price is 100$, Option wise IV is 50% and DTE is 365 days. The ATF...
meehhh
Let me guess ... if the Reward to Risk is 1 to 1 (1/2) then you bet n * 1/2 2 to 1 (1/3) then you bet n * 1/3 1 to 2 (2/3) then you bet n * 2/3...
That's why ? [ATTACH]
https://notion.moontowermeta.com/the-mad-straddle
Actually we should remove the like feature.
Maybe the roulette wasn't broken but the casino must have gone broke. Not sure if their risk management expect this kind of bad luck. Well ......
[ATTACH] Amazing. When you think about the fact that degenerate day traders pull 30 trades a day xD The lesson is ... wait for the ideal...
Wish I were a bot. My life would be easier :D
Bought some 1M ATM HꙨꙨD also. WHERE IS THE MONEY ?! Let's see.
[ATTACH] First break of a support in a while.
Bought OKLO Jul25'25 62.5 Call @ 7.5 NBIS might be another candidate. Bought NBIS Jul25'25 48.5 Call @ 5.5
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