I held this same trade. I'm a little hurt by it, but everyday I wake up to a new day. I'm rich because of it, it forced me to rethink. Good for...
You'd actually be surprised. I've worked buy and sell side, machines are only information. You've got to think outside of the box to make it in...
This is a forecast of policy. Watch and wait.
Very hard to get out of swaps and or forwards. Much easier and less risky to go with the underlying. Unless of course, you are Warren Buffett.
We're going the opposite direction now. Vol will kick right back up, but I'm not sure it will be in 2018. Vol bets are still very very cheap, but...
Very interesting..
It's mostly PD's trading back and forth. Not really a structure, except to them. I've seen it and worked on a desk, it's mostly just manipulating...
There are many more futures than US listed. If you look hard enough, you'll find what I trade.
That's without a doubt. I still like to read every once in a while because they do provide information(once in a blue moon) that I just don't have...
The direction is set in stone. Once decided, it is used until the desired goal is reached. No different than before.
Sometimes they are correct.
*Cough cough*
If only you knew.....
Margin(haircut) is much easier to figure out even with simulations. MonteCarlo will take a few days to figure out. I think I might know of one...
https://support.office.com/en-us/article/Introduction-to-Monte-Carlo-simulation-64c0ba99-752a-4fa8-bbd3-4450d8db16f1 Here's a google. It might...
Because they can't get into Bloomberg chat rooms.
You're partially correct. It isn't time, or politics that decide recessions. It's credit. And no, I don't mean interest rates.
I personally thought they weren't clearing it out until eoy.
2018 will be gradual. 2019 is where the fireworks go off(wink wink.) It isn't guessing anymore, the gods have spoken. But.....what do I know?
You can always run MonteCarlo.
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