In this case the market sooner or later will reflect this and the average investor will lose money.
Pekelo, certainly the stock market is not a closed system but there is an upper bound. This bound is the GDP growth. If the stock market functions...
If I may make a suggestion, until you have more experience on the behavior of in the money, at the money and out of the money options, it may be...
All these threads for a stock that made only 300% ?? :D [img]
Perseus about insults in posts just ignore them… I will quote you what a philosopher once said (the translation is probably bad)....
No, I didn't. Buffett mentions 4% real growth including dividend yields. This is equal approximately with the real US GDP growth.
Yes, I agree let¢s close it :). About the real returns in the stock market. Quote by Warren Buffett. Interview in Fortune magazine...
Yes but you have to adjust for inflation also. 1$ in 1900 is not worth 1$ today. Also you still has the hindsight bias.
Spike if I am not mistaken, the s&p500 was introduced in 1957 and the older quote I have is December 31, 1956, at 46.67. But even assuming that we...
Ok DJIA 1/1/1900 at 68 DJIA 2006 at 11200 That is a growth of less than 5% annually and this with the hindsight of been invested in the...
:) Here we go again... I will quote my reply in a different topic.
DJI at 2 january 1926 was at 158, today is at 11120 This is 5.5% annually. Taking into account dividends will give more than this but then...
I think the ET community had many times in the past this discussion. My view is this: If you take the whole market as one entity and you add...
You did the right thing.
Use something like this in the vba editor... Sub VR_Profile() Dim a(1000) 'close data Dim v(30) 'vr profile data For i = 1 To...
1.67 is the ratio when the stock returns follow the normal distribution. No one claims that an arbitrary stock will have this ratio. It use it as...
It¢s a note made by Taleb in his Dynamic Hedging book. He explains that the math to arrive at the Parkinson number and the equation Parkinson...
The Parkinson formula is [img] N is the number of time periods you use for the calculation (for example number of days) H is the high of...
Of course one can use common technical analysis indicators to define trendiness. Depending on what he wants he can use different tools for...
If you are not interested in options I wouldn't recommend buying the book. Out of curriocity I made a quick calculation using the Parkinson...
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