My definition is a price action that has been proven to be correct in it's directional call >= 65% of the time when backtested in >200 simulated...
It's quite simple why people don't want to believe in Christianity, or any religion for that matter. It is because religion would crimp the...
If you could predict direction correctly, even something like 65% of the time, you could rule the world eventually because of all the money you...
Correlation is the wrong measurement for relationships between assets, because their times series are not stationary. Cointegration is the measure...
So random entries plus risk management yield positive expectancy and thus profit? That's hard for me to believe. Making money in the markets is...
I think Xela has the best explanation of what prediction means in regard to financial indicators. John Ehlers has an indictor that he labels as...
Because trading with the short term momentum and big money that runs stops placed at obvious support/resistance is a legitimate strategy.
I would recommend that you look at maximizing payoff instead of just probability of win. payoff = probability of win * (reward/risk)
So how does a nation go about ending this death spiral? Me thinks going back to a gold/silver/platinum standard (even if that means gold at...
First off, I trade mean reversion strategies, not trends. As pointed out by Visaria, price has a non-stationary distribution, but the first or...
I've always thought this was a great tune, but the problem is how does Ed define a trend mathematically? It must be defined mathematically so that...
Does Elliott Wave Theory actually work? There is no way to verify that it does or doesn't because the theory is not based on any kind of rigorous...
Some say he is fictional (not me of course), but God is my choice for HF manger. He knows what the closing price will be tomorrow and every day. [IMG]
In Canada of course. Specifically, the Klondike. Don't you watch Gold Rush?
No, I only have $50 in the bank, and an IOU for $50 more. The only way I get my full $100 back is if the borrower is not a dead beat and pays the...
Is Walk-Forward (out of sample) testing simply an illusion? If price movements evolve as a random walk, then yes, it is an illusion. It seems the...
Here is some Excel formulas to help you: stdev = (ln(future_price/current_price))/(volatility*sqrt(days_til_expiry/252)) probability =...
Implied volatility cannot be solved from price directly by using a pricing model. There are several algorithmic ways of coming up with IV from a...
The task is to identify when a trend starts or ends, and do it consistently. Consistently is extremely difficult to do. Some people say that you...
Consider that the Islamic faith considers Jesus to have been a real person. They do not recognize him as God of course, just a prophet of God.
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