I am not short because I love being a contrarian, I am short because the pair has been acting weak as of late. That's all.
I was short in size until they established the peg. Similarly long JPY during the half a dozen or so BOJ interventions. I didn't suffer any...
No macro thinking, no fundamental reasoning. Probably there are dozens of very good fundamental reasons for either side of the trade. Why bother?...
I was short SHLD a few times during the run from 40 to 80 and had to exit not only because price went against me but also because it cost 50+%...
Looks like I am the only one? :confused:
Daal has made the point a few times and I agree: % of trading account may be a popular metric to gauge conviction, but % of networth is much...
Yes, but you pay the options premium for that advantage. If the market senses increased gap risk then IV will usually be bloated. That's why I...
A typical trendfollowing approach with stops and no profit target is basically a synthetic option. If you get stopped out for a loss that'd be the...
I enjoy reading your posts about economics and trading (i.e. posts that match the topic of the tread). I can't read them if I put you on ignore....
If the discussion between the two of you was posted in a separate, dedicated thread then it could reach even more forum users who may find it...
What was US GDP growth in 1998 compared to today? Maybe that's one reason the impact of the Asian implosion on the US was muted. GDP grew 4.5%...
You two should consider exchanging your philosophical discourse in a separate thread or entirely in private messages.
US trendline growth appears to be closer to 2%, maybe 2.5% right now compared with 4-4.5% in 1998. Those who use the Asian currency crisis as a...
Instead of rationalizing your bias, what about putting the cards on the table and telling us how much of your total net worth you have in your...
EURCHF printed around 1.2000 for a second there. Getting out the popcorn.
That's quite an absurd way of proving your argument, isn't it. How many top chefs have been world-level iron man competitors as well? How many top...
What about your very own 'bond yields are low so investors are forced to bid up equities' or 'companies are beating analyst expectations so that's...
Take the MSCI World total return, indexed in USD and adjust it for inflation for 1970-1980 and you'll weep.
Then (at lower prices) it was 'too expensive'. Now (at higher prices) it's a 'bargain'. Hilarious.
This feels nothing like 1999.
Separate names with a comma.