I figured this out I believe: [ATTACH] Thats the average daily return. Makes sense, i've done 66% over the past 11 months (.20 *330 days ) The...
"Is it a single factor model, ie just looking at price?" I believe what I do is multivariate time series analysis, I believe that is what it is...
Its a futures system, directional based (not spreads). I place bets on where the market will go... Take profits and take losses...long short (ZN,...
If anyone cares... I'm trying to understand my performance over the past 11 months. I know how to google, and I apologize if I appear lazy. New...
Sun Trader, After 1727 Posts on Elite Trader, your telling me you don't understand how "The Broker" "The Sell Side Analyst" is a market force...
So current price at the current moment is determined by ALL participants perceived value. Great. I'm enlightened by the term "Perceived Value"...
Perceived Value, I get it. But how do you define Perceived Value? I guess Perceived Value = Textbook Value * Average Temperature of the Earth ?...
I trade 11 different markets, They all do the same thing over and over and over again. No difference. Bonds trade the same as NG, as the same as...
There is finally someone who knows how to play poker in the white house, especially one that understands he who has the most chips, typically...
Let's look at an example, let's simply look at Natural Gas on Thursday and Friday of last week. Where did Natural Gas top out on Thursday? 2.98,...
Manually Back testing: Although time consuming...I'm now an expert at pattern recognition. I can see things in real time and distinguish between...
The analogy is, if your at a card table and sit down with 500 bucks, and USA is sitting next to you.. They sit down with 20,000 bucks....
If your starting to try to understand how markets move, focus on longer term charts. Daily bars 4hr bars etc. 5 min, 1 min... too short term in...
Handle, Thank you for the feedback. I will have to analyze what you wrote as well. I have fairly wide stops, and your question of how many go...
Thanks for the feedback, it's great having someone take a look to see what potentially might make more sense.
Speedo, I appreciate the advice, I'm going to have to analyze this closer. That will require a ton of time to test. I manually test...
I don't using Trailing stops. I use fixed stops, equatable to fix $ amount that is max risk per trade 1.8% of account roughly. Once I'm UP half...
If you look through this most basic lens, and this is before even trying to understand technical analysis you might become enlightened.... Market...
I love your name Sweet Bobby, it's just great, nothing else to describe it.
If Anyone cares... Curious out there, in particular the actual profitable traders what their Win Loss Matrix looks like. I've been studying mine...
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