magazine cover says Inflation is coming back - cover is contrary indicator

Discussion in 'Economics' started by zdreg, Apr 29, 2019.

  1. zdreg

    zdreg

  2. sle

    sle

    I did. It's mostly true - the risk is almost certainly towards deflation. Central bankers have learned how to reduce inflation (in absence of seignorage, of course) by raising interest rates, painful as it is. However, it seems that deflation is far more difficult to deal with, as the European and Japanese examples show (as well as the experiences of the Fed, to a lesser extent).
     
  3. zdreg

    zdreg

    Time will prove you wrong.
     
    Arnie likes this.
  4. zdreg

    zdreg

    there is no deflation in Europe. you have subscribed to MMT (modern monetary theory) hook, line and sinker. It is a dubious theory by economists trying to make a name for themselves.
    https://tradingeconomics.com/european-union/inflation-rate
     
    Last edited: Apr 30, 2019
  5. sle

    sle

    Of course it will, question is how much time. Time will also prove me dead.

    Could you think of a single developed economy which went from a deflationary environment to an inflationary one?
     
  6. srinir

    srinir

    Forget time in the future. All those inflation hawks have been so wrong in the past, it is not even funny. Investors who listened to hawks like Peter Schiff have lost bundle already
     
  7. zdreg

    zdreg

    correct. however, the past is the past, peter schiff has a brokerage firm and manages money. with commissions and fees he is a winner.
    as to extrapolating to the future that is an error in logic. the past is not necessarily the future.