Trump Opens Up 16 point lead with independents

Discussion in 'Politics' started by jem, Oct 31, 2016.

  1. jem

    jem

    ABC on independents..
    "They’ve gone from a scant 6 points in Clinton’s favor in the first four nights of tracking, 44-38 percent, to a substantial Trump lead now, 34-51 percent, Clinton-Trump."


    IBD Poll has Independents like this.
    Trump 48% - Hillary 32% - others... 9% 2% 4% 4%

    Both polls have hillary up by 1 or 2 overall by taking oversamples of democrats. for instance IBD is D +7.

    --

    As a background ... Romney won independents by 5 - Obama won the election overall by 4.
     
  2. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark

    8 of the last 8 rcp polls have hillary ahead.I'm siding with them
     
  3. Good1

    Good1

    Siding with polls only makes sense if you are a politician or a gambler. Exactly how much money have you layed down at any of the books that will take bets on Hillary Rotting Clinton?
     
  4. jem

    jem

    1. what are you talking about LA times has trump up by 4. that is always the most recent as its daily.

    with respect to many of the other polls.
    garbage in garbage out.

    I told you many of those polls were crap and they proved it.
    ABC went from what 14 to 2 pts in the herding week. Before the FBI announcement

     
  5. fhl

    fhl

    [​IMG]
     
    Thor, piezoe and Clubber Lang like this.
  6. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark



    From 1 minute ago


    [​IMG]
     
  7. Tony Stark

    Tony Stark


    Nothing,the odds are too high in her favor.
     
  8. Good1

    Good1

    That would be the perfect time to lay a bet down on her. So even if you bet $1 to get back .20 it's still a good bet right? She IS going to win isn't she?

    So if you side with the polls, the odds will always give you back less than you bet. And for that reason you are not betting?
     
  9. Also from 1 minute ago.

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  10. #10     Oct 31, 2016