I am sure their internal statistics are correct. For the 350K entries in their pool, the majority of bettors from each of those states are betting on Trump. The way they post it in the Tweetybird shows their bias. It would have been more transparent for them by breaking down how many in each state have placed bets on Biden.
I don't think anybody really knows... The democrats have scared the hell out of some of their base. Of the ones who have not yet voted... what if they scared away 10 percent more Democrats than Republicans in the swing states.. I can tell you from being out on Halloween... The Biden signs in front correlated very strongly with masks and candy chutes. I don't think it was all virtue signaling.. I think a lot of those people would never show up at polls during Covid. Did they all remember to mail in and vote early? I can believe a lot did because they had signs... .but their democrat friends without signs? To me... that is the dem's biggest hurdle and I don't see how it can be forecast.
Apparently, the Presidental election odds makers say quite a bit more bets are cast on the side of Trump than Biden. By extension, if that is true, it means the big money is on Biden. Still, Trump’s betting odds have been improving over the last week. If Trump gets reelected, I will enjoy thinking about all the money Soros and the like lost in their effort to buy the election by outspending Trump by hundreds of millions of dollars, just like what happened when Hillary ran in 2016.
How'd that work out in 2016? https://www.9news.com.au/national/a...election/80d86721-cf21-4b1c-a7f7-6f6e77082b1c