still fabricating doom and gloom and drama on a daily basis think about this @S2007S gave us all drama when the market was going down and now @S2007S continues to deliver drama on a daily basis when the market is going up! so you have to question what is going on with this poster that neither up or down markets make then happy? market going down = drama market going up = drama wtf? this is actually all politically motivated and very sad for all of us who have to endure manufactured drama on a forum that is supposed to be about trading.
No, Nasdaq rallied 100% but the S&P only rallied around 20% during that time. When the Nasdaq was 2000 points in 1999 no one thought it would rally to 5000 points in 2001. It was as unexpected and ridiculous sounding as moving from 20,000 to 50,000 sounds today But it happened in around 12 months. Im not saying that is going to happen over the next 12 months, just that this indicator last triggered right before a big continuation of the bull market that was in progress at the time.
The only way it can skyrocket like 1999-2000 is via AI unicorn IPOs. The big kahuna being OpenAI. I think there will be an escalation of the Russia/NATO war in the middle so I expect a lot of volatility similar to the Thai Baht/LTCM collapse in 1998..
FORWARD earnings? So things that MIGHT happen in the future. If you can predict the future, you should be plenty rich by now. In the last 50 years, there hasn't been more uncertainty about the US economic climate than there is today. Tariff threats are based on the mood of the man at the moment. Some get put in place, others for a few days then he backs off... still others are just living with dark clouds over their heads and ever extending deadlines. Forward guidance is predictably going to be super cautious. A month from now the S&P could easily be 1,000 points higher or lower. I have no clue. I can find reasonable arguments for both. Fortunately most of here are TRADERS and we're gonna get it all worked out no matter what happens.
That is way too much faith for the pack, have a look at the ES Journal - 2025/2026 if you want to see the average. Those guys are trading against each other.
I´am waiting for the words to show up in the media: This time it is different because... Buffet indicator overbought, check Hype, check, Long run, check People believing that buying every dip is a solid investment strategy, check Extreme valuation, check A whole generation not having seen a bear market, check. We need some event now that would give a big scare or mindshift and we will see something more than a correction.
kant wait was long 911 till it opened back up then i shorted everything and then bought and was back good in two weeks. i know how to short its 2.5% below the 21 day average.