Sold ctz-h @0.20 (half of volume) it looks like the weather gets better and precip. will be small. but outright is still bullish, so i will sell again near 0.35 if something will happened
for example: "Grains/Soy a touch higher this morning w/ beans supported by China demand & slow farm selling" where one can find information about farm selling?
Sold CTK16-CTH16@.49 on a small 2 lot. Getting pummeled on my coffee positions. Starting to think I'm a fool for holding through this. Long NY cocoa dec again at 3139 and long NY sugar mar at 1405, outrights.
Generally, I'd say track the cash market basis at several key terminals and processors. Beware of market commentary unless you "know" and trust the analyst or broker who is being quoted. Often, they're just saying whatever is at the top of their head when Reuters, Bloomberg, et al call looking for a quote/looking for a reason why the mkt went up or down on a particular day.
going to sell zwh-u (sufficient stocks + warmer weather may support seasonality) and mwz-h if it'll rise more