Ag trade ideas

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by TraDaToR, Aug 24, 2014.

  1. TraDaToR

    TraDaToR

    Here is the current state of this thread's trades.

    I took the time to put the right commissions and fees so here you have a more accurate EC. One problem is I increased size in January and my first full sized trades were losers...It has been quite tough lately as the agricultural markets are dead, so my scalping ( 80 % of my returns ) is suffering as well.

    For these trades, I think I will be a lot more selective in the future. If I lose 1/2 of my peak, I will reconsider and perhaps stop trading this strategy and go back to the basics again. This strategy has been energy and time consuming so I need to gauge if it is worth it...

    [​IMG]
     
    #1351     Mar 12, 2016
    Vyki likes this.
  2. Vyki

    Vyki

    Your post reminded me.

    i created small app, maybe someone will find it interesting.
    it gets daily statements (from some folder or mail), import stats to database, show charts. Currently only 2 FCM are supported:dorman and gain. but if one needs another, you can write to help.ESPA at gmail.com

    it's written in python, code is here https://github.com/noerten/ESPA
    windows .exe is here https://mega.nz/#F!19kRBLZK!GTt2bg-7SKGpO_IkW8dDlg
    I'm a beginner in programming, so bugs can be here.
    functionality is on screenshot:
    [​IMG]

    basic principle:
    you get statements either from folder or email, then you import them to database.


    some bad things i know about:
    • when you import/copy/add to database and program is working, it looks like it freezes. but it's not, so wait:)
    • after changing some settings in order to apply them you have to click on another tab.
    • one guy that used that program got some problem with program's database and didnt manage to import new data, unfortunately i ddint manage to solve the problem.
    • sometimes avast think .exe is a virus because of the program i used to convert python to exe.
    I would appreciate any feedback)
     
    #1352     Mar 12, 2016
    Rachmaninov and TraDaToR like this.
  3. @Vyki

    That's really a nice idea ! How do you get to read your email ?
    I know to read from a classic file. Is there some gmail API ?

    @TraDaToR
    When you left sclaping, you also left the amazing returns.. Your returns are still good compared to classic Hedge Funds strategies. What's your sharp ratio ?
     
    #1353     Mar 13, 2016
  4. Vyki

    Vyki

    there is a library in python 'imaplib' that allows to connect to email. i dont know how it works:)

    m = imaplib.IMAP4_SSL("imap.gmail.com")
    m.login(user,pwd)

    then i just search for letters from FCM and then check their content
     
    #1354     Mar 13, 2016
  5. TraDaToR

    TraDaToR

    Luckily I didn't leave scalping and it is still my bread and butter. I don't know if I would be able to stomach such drawdowns if it was my main strategy. I don't know my sharpe.
     
    #1355     Mar 13, 2016
  6. @TraDaToR
    A 1 SR is considered to be good (yearly returns/volality=1) on big funds and asset classes.
    With a 1 SR you still have a 16 % probability of having negative return on one year...
     
    #1356     Mar 14, 2016
  7. @Vyki
    I found a R package which should do the work !
     
    #1357     Mar 14, 2016
  8. TraDaToR

    TraDaToR

    Long Jul/Short Aug Soymeal @ -1.1.
     
    #1358     Mar 14, 2016
    i960 likes this.
  9. TraDaToR

    TraDaToR

    Added to this one@ -8.5.
     
    #1359     Mar 21, 2016
  10. TraDaToR

    TraDaToR

    Got smoked on this one. Out @ 0.70.:(
     
    #1360     Mar 21, 2016