Bond Trader 2006

Discussion in 'Journals' started by johnpinochet, Jan 25, 2006.

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  1. Price Projection Numbers

    111 24
    110 12
    109 01

    Spike Numbers

    111 26
    109 24

    Important numbers from the last couple of weeks

    111 08
    111 04
    110 28
    110 21
    110 08
    110 01
    109 29

    Price Projection Numbers are based on my own algorithm. Think of them as support and resistance.

    Spike Numbers are a variation of the above based on solely where a single spike up or down might stop momentarily. Price will usually reverse from a spike number because the rush to the spike was so great. Even though price may reverse from a spike number, it doesn't necessarily mean that price will now go in the other direction. It may be a pullback and time to buy or sell depending on if it was a spike up or a spike down.

    Please note that I believe if we break 109 29 that we will move down even more from there. The move down to 109 29 will be dependent on what happens at 110 01.

    We haven't had a 2 point move day in the ZB's in a long time have we? That will probably have to wait until next week's FOMC meeting.

    I'm biased to the short side and I will be looking to short at pullbacks from a spike down. So far world financial news looks bearish for the open.

    Finally, remember, this is day trading. Don't be married to your bias. FWIW, I had a rather significant day last week Friday. God willing, I will repeat that success today.

    Lance, Surdo, and BlueHorseshoe nailed yesterday. Let's see if we can get a brief pre-market game plan from each of them.
     
    #571     Sep 15, 2006
  2. buy yet? :)
     
    #572     Sep 15, 2006
  3. Surdo

    Surdo

    I am also a better seller, offering 111.
    Maybe offer lower???

    Busy printing money in Euro Fx!

    Good trading.
     
    #573     Sep 15, 2006
  4. Spike numbers are off the table.

    Bias is neutral to bullish.
     
    #574     Sep 15, 2006
  5. sharp10

    sharp10

    John,
    would you use 22 as support?
     
    #575     Sep 15, 2006
  6. 0759 CST Bought 2 ZB's 110 26. Tight stop. This is a probe. Trade was anywhere between 110 20 and 110 25.

    We never got to 110 20 on the pullback. My prints show 110 23 as a low. We had 3 5 minute bars to enter the trade.
     
    #576     Sep 15, 2006
  7. If we break 110 29-30, we're in great shape for the day. There's quite a bit of headroom above that without the yield getting too off base.
     
    #577     Sep 15, 2006
  8. 0801 CST Bought 2 more ZB's 110 27. This is it. Make or break run for the highs. No break through the highs and I'm out.
     
    #578     Sep 15, 2006
  9. Yes. You should have gone long anywhere between 0745 and 0755 CST on the 5 min chart.
     
    #579     Sep 15, 2006
  10. sharp10

    sharp10

    Thank you John.
     
    #580     Sep 15, 2006
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