CoVID-19 Vaccine!!

Discussion in 'Trading' started by tommcginnis, Feb 24, 2020.

  1. Overnight

    Overnight

    No, the virus test would not, because the virus test tests for the virus. But the antibody test would at least show if you had the thing to begin with!

    (That does not mean that you are totally immune to a mutation of it, JUST LIKE THE DAMNED FLU, but it gives you peace of mind.)
     
    #31     Mar 28, 2020
    tommcginnis likes this.
  2. Turveyd

    Turveyd

    Testing Front Line NHS next week, they'd of all had it, then they can stop going on about PPE and messing around like it's the damn plague.
     
    #32     Mar 28, 2020
    tommcginnis likes this.
  3. Turveyd

    Turveyd

    It'll show if you've already had it with or without symptoms and therefore immune and you can't stop worrying about getting it.

    99% sure I've had it, Loads of friends with it currently 30% area, be 80% then slow right down soon.
     
    #33     Mar 28, 2020
  4. Cuddles

    Cuddles

    Yes, 300 million got infected in 3 months. Listen to yourself
     
    #34     Mar 28, 2020
  5. Turveyd

    Turveyd

    Based on 33% per day of growth ( wish my account did that )

    after 84days, 100% would have, although it'll slow down at some stage 80% area I'd guess as lack of hosts to find.

    0 10.00
    1 13.30
    2 17.69
    3 23.53
    4 31.29
    5 41.62
    6 55.35
    7 73.61
    8 97.91
    9 130.22
    10 173.19
    11 230.34
    12 306.35
    13 407.45
    14 541.90
    15 720.73
    16 958.58
    17 1,274.91
    18 1,695.62
    19 2,255.18
    20 2,999.39
    21 3,989.19
    22 5,305.62
    23 7,056.47
    24 9,385.11
    25 12,482.20
    26 16,601.32
    27 22,079.76
    28 29,366.08
    29 39,056.88
    30 51,945.66
    31 69,087.72
    32 91,886.67
    33 122,209.27
    34 162,538.33
    35 216,175.98
    36 287,514.05
    37 382,393.69
    38 508,583.61
    39 676,416.20
    40 899,633.54
    41 1,196,512.61
    42 1,591,361.77
    43 2,116,511.15
    44 2,814,959.84
    45 3,743,896.58
    46 4,979,382.45
    47 6,622,578.66
    48 8,808,029.62
    49 11,714,679.39
    50 15,580,523.59
    51 20,722,096.38
    52 27,560,388.19
    53 36,655,316.29
    54 48,751,570.66
    55 64,839,588.98
    56 86,236,653.35
    57 114,694,748.95
    58 152,544,016.10
    59 202,883,541.42
    60 269,835,110.08
    61 358,880,696.41
    62 477,311,326.23
    63 634,824,063.88
    64 844,316,004.96
    65 1,122,940,286.60
    66 1,493,510,581.18
    67 1,986,369,072.97
    68 2,641,870,867.05
    69 3,513,688,253.17
    70 4,673,205,376.72
    71 6,215,363,151.04
    72 8,266,432,990.88
    73 10,994,355,877.87
    74 14,622,493,317.57
    75 19,447,916,112.37
    76 25,865,728,429.45
    77 34,401,418,811.17
    78 45,753,887,018.86
    79 60,852,669,735.08
    80 80,934,050,747.66
    81 107,642,287,494.39
    82 143,164,242,367.54
    83 190,408,442,348.82
    84 253,243,228,323.93


    might need 85, but you get the point.
     
    #35     Mar 28, 2020
  6. Cuddles

    Cuddles

    not that simple:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_reproduction_number#Estimation_methods
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compartmental_models_in_epidemiology
     
    #36     Mar 28, 2020
    ironchef likes this.
  7. Turveyd

    Turveyd

    #37     Mar 28, 2020
  8. ironchef

    ironchef

  9. ironchef

    ironchef

    #39     Mar 29, 2020