Day & Night trading Derivatives Futures

Discussion in 'Journals' started by maxinger, Aug 31, 2019.

  1. maxinger

    maxinger

    upload_2024-3-1_13-17-52.png

    1 Mar Trading China PMI data release


    Such a nice chart is not very common.

    Notes :

    ***** I don't trade a few minutes before data release

    wave 1 will give you a decent reward : risk ratio of 5 (max 12).

    HangSeng Futures and HangSeng Tech futures moved in tandem.
    So that was great.

    after wave 3, it will probably enter the GARBAGE zone.

    China A50 refused to move decisively.
    That is quite normal.
     
    Last edited: Mar 1, 2024
    #931     Mar 1, 2024
    beginner66, toon and tony.m like this.
  2. maxinger

    maxinger

    4 Mar 2024

    BREAKING :

    The Asian market is dead ahead of China 2 sessions


    # signals during the Asian session: ZERO
    such a situation is rather rare.
    The Asians are waiting for China's 2 session meetings.


    Last Fri, the European indices were very dead too (except CAC40)

    ___________________________________________

    And CNBC headlines are :

    U.S. crude touches $80 for first time since November before OPEC+ decision !!!!!!
    PUBLISHED FRI, MAR 1 20248:49 AM ESTUPDATED FRI, MAR 1 20242:47 PM EST


    UPDATED SUN, MAR 3 202411:49 PM EST
    SHARE
    Japan’s Nikkei smashes 40,000 barrier after Wall Street benchmarks hit record highs; China ‘Two Sessions’ meeting in focus

    ____________________________

     
    Last edited: Mar 4, 2024
    #932     Mar 3, 2024
    tony.m likes this.
  3. maxinger

    maxinger

    correction :
    Taiwan Index futures moved 1%.

    Obviously, I missed that signal.

    Taiwan Index futures just broke a record high.
     
    #933     Mar 4, 2024
  4. tony.m

    tony.m

    Some days Nikkei follows US markets 1 to 1 but sometimes it just doesn't care what other markets are doing.
    Have you found any nikkei 225 correlation ?
     
    #934     Mar 5, 2024
    PPC likes this.
  5. maxinger

    maxinger


    Nikkei 225 has its own backbone / mind.
    So it tends to move as and when it wants.
    It doesn't correlate well with other indices/markets.

    At one stage, Nikkei was highly tradable
    because of this mother-of-all tsunami in Japan.
    Many traders became very rich because of that.


    I haven't traded Nikkei for years.
     
    #935     Mar 5, 2024
    tony.m likes this.
  6. maxinger

    maxinger

    6 Mar Day of mega movers

    mega movers were:
    Taiwan index
    hangseng and hangseng Tech
    Thailand set50
    India Nifty
    NK

    The movement is probably due to China's policy change.
    The Day range should continue to be healthy.


    Other movers:
    China A50
    ES
    NQ
    copper
    crude oil
    gold (choppy!) and bonds
     
    #936     Mar 6, 2024
    toon and tony.m like this.
  7. maxinger

    maxinger

    upload_2024-3-13_21-44-14.jpeg

    13 Mar US opening session

    Now DST

    Russell 2000 has been known to be very shy.

    When ES NQ & YM are not moving, then Russell 2000 moves.

    Russell 2000 - my first futures day/night trading decades ago.
    How can I forget?
     
    Last edited: Mar 13, 2024
    #937     Mar 13, 2024
    tony.m likes this.
  8. maxinger

    maxinger

    CME Bitcoin futures trading parameters


    After many years, let's see if CME bitcoin futures is suitable for day trading.

    MBT volume (about 40k / day) > BTC volume
    so it looks decent

    tick size: 5 points.
    This is extremely tiny

    volume chart : use 50V or 100V or more

    max loss: 200 points (ie 0.3%)
    cannot make it smaller to due the very choppy movement
    max loss is relatively high compared with other futures

    bid-offer spread : it is in terms of tens of ticks
    it is one of the worst spread in this world


    Not suitable for day trading.
    There are many other better futures for day trading.
     
    #938     Mar 14, 2024
    toon and PPC like this.
  9. maxinger

    maxinger

    upload_2024-3-24_7-38-49.png


    20 Mar MBT futures

    How to day trade MBT futures?


    What a choppy day.

    Choppy markets are very common for most of the futures and not just MBT.
    Choppy markets happen 95% of the time.

    How to trade in a choppy market? Don't trade.

    I allow a maximum of 3 failures per futures, per day.



    Anyway, the chart exhibited an open wedge / swingupswingdownupdown formation.
     
    Last edited: Mar 23, 2024
    #939     Mar 23, 2024
  10. maxinger

    maxinger

    26 Mar gold trading

    upload_2024-3-27_8-47-43.png

    This pattern is quite common.

    wave 1 - reversal signal.
    Before that, the Europeans pushed the price up.

    wave 2 & 3 - continuation signal.


    day range on 26 Mar was at the healthy 1.5%
     
    Last edited: Mar 26, 2024
    #940     Mar 26, 2024
    tony.m likes this.