Does Technical Trading Really Work?

Discussion in 'Technical Analysis' started by Lloyd W. Coutee, Oct 8, 2015.

  1. Chris Mac

    Chris Mac

    It worked 2 weeks ago, maybe it could work again?
    Thanks to total luck of course because as you assume, "TA doesn't work".

    CM
     
    #31     Oct 8, 2015
  2. Stop placement is as much art as science. Regardless, there are always situations where you'd have been better off to have had your stop tighter/looser... and no way to know in advance.
     
    #32     Oct 8, 2015
  3. speedo

    speedo

    There are no magic bullets, only edges and proper behavior.
     
    #33     Oct 8, 2015
  4. TA does not work in itself. Of course it does not to any rationally thinking person, because past prices do not have crystal balls between their little OHLC or Candlestick legs. But I let you in on a secret: There is a concept called momentum or more scientifically "cointegration" and it basically is a reflection of human beings reacting to new information to varying degrees and with different lags. That is precisely why you often observe price inertia in the absence of new information that adversely affect present velocity. TA in all its expressions is by definition lagging and simply reflects the present at some time in the future. So, sure, as long as an extremely strong trend manifests itself you will realize that (of course later than everyone else) via the application of TA. Mean reversion approaches are even more esoteric in that mean reversion TA basically tries to push the repeating pattern of moon phase methodology (every now and then we see a "full moon") into a financial market that reacts in real-time to constantly arriving news/events/market impacting items. But if it works for you awesome, at least I am glad I do not invest and bank with HSBC.

     
    #34     Oct 8, 2015
  5. You sound as if you're serious there ...
     
    #35     Oct 8, 2015
  6. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    PSST--that's TA
     
    #36     Oct 8, 2015
  7. Buy1Sell2

    Buy1Sell2

    Game,Set,Match
     
    #37     Oct 8, 2015
  8. you heard it first here...remember me...


     
    #38     Oct 8, 2015
  9. pssss...has nothing to do with past prices, nothing to do with TA....move along folks...nothing to be seen here....


     
    #39     Oct 8, 2015
  10. speedo

    speedo

    Thank you for attending the latest meeting of The Flat Earth Society.
     
    #40     Oct 8, 2015