Remember this chart? If it means anything, the next intermediate support should be at around 3975. But ultimately down to 3800 IMO.
banks are crashing after the fed's backstop to prevent exactly this. if that doesn't trigger a major liquidation break/sell off scenario, what will? perhaps those who wanted to short were already short.
It's pajama churn tonight. So... don't expect great things out of this one. Being early and right can oftentimes be just like being wrong... unless you exercise conviction and hold. And yes, I know this trade is only an hour long tops. But some nights, its just better to not trade and and enjoy the ET show. Tonight is probably one of those nights.
My data still says lower or a consolidation day at the lows is more likely than higher. So, shorting the top of the range here, but may not see much happening until post-NFP. Trading above yesterday's range in RTH and going back inside Wednesday's range will probably flip the bias to long for today.
Stopped for 1 tick profit. 92.25. Short again at 92, but will stop out at 94 or B/E if we go higher once again. Could be a churner going into NFP, so don't see any reason to press this or use a large stop. EDIT: And out 91.75 for another tick. A push to 4100 or a drop to 4180 seems equally likely here, so no need to gamble on an uncertain outcome. Probably going to wait for the RTH Open from here.