ES Journal | Divergence918

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Iwilldoit, Oct 11, 2015.


  1. Wow now I am really confused.
     
    #121     Nov 4, 2015
  2. Handle123

    Handle123

    Indicators can go forever, otherwise an indicator reading from two years you will say is divergent to currently, at some point indicator reading has to start over, and I have found for past 25 years that went it goes to other side of 80/20, anything to left don't exist. This doesn't say my way is only way, there are others who use this indicator who am sure can give other pointers, but I have never gotten low enough losing percentages using Stochastics, either my fault of never finding out the whys or they not there. But I like indicators based on closes or changing an indicator like RSI and using lows below 50 and highs above 50. Many use RSI and use it wrong comparing highs/lows when they should be comparing closes.

    Making comparisons going back 14 bars does not make sense to me.
     
    #122     Nov 5, 2015
  3. No Divergences on either the 30 or 60 today........therefore no trades.
     
    #123     Nov 5, 2015
  4. Here is the divergence without the status bars blocking it:

    ES Journal | Divergence918

    The stochastic top is at 90.6

    @Handle123
     
    #124     Nov 5, 2015
  5. Handle123

    Handle123

    Based on my experience I do not see divergence
     
    #125     Nov 5, 2015
  6. TRADE ONE: LONG/LOSS/ BLD/30/11H00

    PosttoET.jpg

    • I realized there was BLD on the 30 at 11h00


    11h11 I set my limit order to 87, TARGET= 94.5, INITIAL STOP = 4.75


    EXECUTION

    • Price dropped up to fill my limit order at 87 at 11h12 (USING the DOM) →


    IN TRADE PERFORMANCE

    • Looked like a fake move up around 11h14 → started to feel happy thought price was eventually going to break out.
    • I looked at the DOM→ there seemed to be more orders on the sell side vs. the buy side→ so I start to think I am on the wrong side

    EXIT

    • Nevertheless→ I kept my stop at 84.75 (I only move my stop up)
    • Then price dropped like a rock in an ocean →where I got stopped out at 85 (strange?)



    WHAT I LEARNT

    • mmmmm maybe @Handle123 is right→ stochastics arent a reliable indicator

    I wonder how this would of played out in a real live "money" trade?


    @Handle123 @Redneck
    @NoDoji @Buy1Sell2 @aquarian1
    @Gueco @pak @slugar @zbestoch @dratsum @wrbtrader
     
    #126     Nov 6, 2015
  7. TRADE TWO: LONG/LOSS/ BLD/30/11H00


    PosttoET.jpg

    • Yes I went against my rules and decided to reenter this trade → noticed 9EMA crossing over the 18SMA


    11h32 I set my limit order to 84.5, TARGET= 91.75, INITIAL STOP = 82.75


    EXECUTION

    • Price dropped down to fill my limit order at 84.5 at 11h33 (USING the DOM) →


    IN TRADE PERFORMANCE

    • Price moved up well → started to feel this would be a profitable trade
    • As soon as I saw the green candle at 11h34→ I decided to raise my stop to 84

    EXIT

    • Then for some God known reason price dropped below the 9EMA, below the 18SMA→ and I was stopped out at 84.25 (even though my stop limit was set at 84?)



    WHAT I LEARNT

    • Maybe my stop strategy is flawed? Maybe I should redesign the stop to withstand the first retracements?

    I wonder how this would of played out in a real live "money" trade?


    @Handle123 @Redneck
    @NoDoji @Buy1Sell2 @aquarian1
    @Gueco @pak @slugar @zbestoch @dratsum @wrbtrader
     
    #127     Nov 6, 2015

  8. @zbestoch @Handle123

    Hard to me to figure out this question/riddle.........I'll take a guess and say Price Action? please give me a hint
     
    #128     Nov 6, 2015
  9. zbestoch

    zbestoch

    At the moment, the day's high on the S&P 500 is 2101 and the day's low is 2083. What does 2083-2101 represent? If you subtract today's low from today's high, what does that value represent?
     
    #129     Nov 6, 2015

  10. It is the area where price traded.......the trading range? the price action?

    Sorry I am not sure what you are trying to get at.


    @zbestoch @Handle123
     
    #130     Nov 6, 2015