From what Date should Donald Trump's Affect on the Stock Market be Measured?

Discussion in 'Politics' started by zdreg, Mar 1, 2025.

Trump effect on stock should be measured from the following dates

  1. Inauguration day January 20,2025

    5 vote(s)
    21.7%
  2. Election Day November 4, 2024

    13 vote(s)
    56.5%
  3. Market knew results before 11/4/2024 pick other date

    2 vote(s)
    8.7%
  4. Trump has no effect

    3 vote(s)
    13.0%
  1. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    How about Trump's effect on consumer confidence.

    US consumer confidence plunges in April
    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-consumer-confidence-plunges-april-141454109.html

    WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. consumer confidence slumped to a nearly five-year low in April as growing concerns over tariffs weighed on the economic outlook.

    The Conference Board said on Tuesday its consumer confidence index dropped 7.9 points to 86.0 this month, the lowest reading since May 2020. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the index sliding to 87.5.

    The Present Situation Index, based on consumers' assessment of current business and labor market conditions, fell 0.9 point to 133.5. The Expectations Index, based on consumers' short-term outlook for income, business, and labor market conditions, slid 12.5 points to 54.4 - the lowest level since October 2011 and well below the threshold of 80 that usually signals a recession ahead.

    "Consumer confidence declined for a fifth consecutive month in April, falling to levels not seen since the onset of the COVID pandemic," said Stephanie Guichard, Senior Economist, Global Indicators at The Conference Board.

    The government is expected to report on Wednesday that economic growth braked sharply in the first quarter, amid a surge in imports as businesses raced to bring in goods to avoid higher costs from duties.

    Consumer spending also likely slowed down considerably, hampered by still-high inflation as well as worries about the impact of tariffs on the economy, which prompted some households to cut back on consumption to preserve savings.

    Gross domestic product likely increased at a 0.3% annualized rate in the January-March quarter, which would be the weakest since the second quarter of 2022, a Reuters survey showed.

    Risks are tilted to the downside. The Atlanta Federal Reserve is forecasting GDP declining at a 0.4% rate after adjusting for imports and exports of gold. The economy grew at a 2.4% pace in the fourth quarter.
     
    #31     Apr 29, 2025
  2. gwb-trading

    gwb-trading

    I wonder what happens when everyone finally realizes that Trump is deliberately defrauding the stock market for personal gain?

    'Trade violence': Onlookers accuse Trump of 'manipulation' as he 'tanks markets'
    https://www.rawstory.com/trump-tariffs-2672193260/
     
    #32     May 23, 2025
  3. Nine_Ender

    Nine_Ender

    Who would have thought a guy with a life full of breaking laws and fiscal irresponsibility would continue to do so in his old age :) ? The US layoffs are starting to get meaningful businesses can't depend on the US business environment anymore. Good news for Canadian energy producers Asian buyers are now buying the majority of product through the new pipeline and we are getting better pricing now. Even some deals with Europe are happening now. It's ok for Americans because Trump said you don't need anything from Canada. It is amazing really that he thinks attacking a company like Apple is good for his economy and markets. He wants the phones assembled in the US or jack up the prices 25%. Not inflationary at all :).
     
    #33     May 23, 2025
  4. vztrdr

    vztrdr

    Hahahaha
    Do you really think he doesn't know this? :rolleyes:

    I mean... you people will fall for anything. -->"Look over here!"<--

    [​IMG]

    Sometimes I wonder about ET's collective IQ.
     
    #34     May 23, 2025
  5. Trump failed the trail making test on the cognitive test at W. Reed. So no, I wouldn't be talking about IQ and Trump.
     
    #35     May 23, 2025
  6. vztrdr

    vztrdr

    Link?
     
    #36     May 23, 2025
  7. There is no link. Who would release that info to the public? My neighbor went to school at Penn with Reed's head of neuro. Your guy is r*******.
     
    #37     May 23, 2025
  8. And yeah, it's a fcking connect the dots.
     
    #38     May 23, 2025
  9. vztrdr

    vztrdr

    No link?!
    Well my neighbor just shot a 7 under par round at a USGA 74 rated 18 hole nightmare course... and he has his son/caddy as a witness.
     
    #39     May 23, 2025
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    #40     May 23, 2025