hummmmmmmmmm. I feel weird. We brought this here at maybe $2... and that was a year ago. We did great but can we re focus our aims here and look to a $10 stk?/ It is tough to buy here/ GBA Upgrade-->EVLV Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. $7.80 0.42(+5.77%)3:39 PM 08/15/25 NASDAQ |$USD |Realtime
Evolv Technology raises 2025 revenue growth outlook to 27%-30% while advancing direct fulfillment strategy If you chart it it says buy here***
Lets take another look here-: IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. 5 days up 17% $2.55 0.1(+4.08%)4:00 PM 08/15/25 Fell from $2.63 on earn
Consumer sentiment falls for first time in four months Market Summary > Bitcoin 117,273.60USD -1,982.90(1.66%)past 5 days Bitcoin Price, XRP Fall Again. Where Cryptos May Be Heading Next.
VPL-: stock: ATRO Astronics Corporation Stock Price & Overview $33.45 0.57 (+1.73%)4:00 PM 08/15/25 reason: Co missed revenue early Aug report and stock dived. It has since worked most of the way back and they did raise 25 guidance.
VPL-: stock: TTD The Trade Desk, Inc. $52.12 1.36(+2.68%)4:00 PM 08/15/25 reason: Stock has been horribly beat down due to AMZN competition. Is all the selling done or more downside to come? 2026. RBC connected TV (CTV), joint business plans (JBPs), and the company’s Kokai platform as key growth drivers.
Now just as a personal aside, I have started becoming increasingly more concerned about the US economy over really the past couple weeks than what I had expected earlier this year. Just starting to see a lot more anecdotal evidence of companies that are more economically sensitive, for example, we’ve talked about some of the chemical commodity companies, some of the construction firms that just had terrible results this past quarter. It’s making me think that maybe the economy might’ve just hit the brakes here in the past month or two, especially because it seems like the amount that these companies missed earnings by surprised even their management teams, and of course those management teams should have the best view for visibility in those sectors. So those early cyclical companies, having those bad results, is really something that’s starting to concern me today.- Sekera
Now it’s been a little while since we’ve talked about Polaris onThe Morning Filter,so remind everyone what Morningstar’s thesis is on this one and why you like it. Sekera: Yeah, and this is another one you got to go back toward the beginning of the pandemic and how that impacted the company’s business. So if you remember outdoor sports, one of the few things that we were able to do when everyone was social distancing in 2020, there’s a huge pull-forward effect, during the beginning of the pandemic, and of course then as people had already bought these items early in the pandemic, we saw revenue come crashing down over the course of the last year. So we finally think we’re getting to the point where that fall off after that pull forward is starting to dwindle. So as an indication, reading through our earnings note from this last quarter, Polaris reported a sales decline of 6%, and that’s now the smallest decrease they’ve had since 2023. Taking a look at our financial model, we are expecting a 20% pullback. I’m sorry, we did see a 20% pullback in 2024 and we’re looking for a slight pullback this year. We’re still projecting a 4.5% decline in the top line this year, and then we’re looking for a 2.9% increase in revenue next year and then averaging 3.5% thereafter. Essentially our long-term forecasts are looking for essentially kind of that 2% inflation rate plus a little bit of pricing and a little bit of volume growth, but nothing heroic that you have to price in in order to get to our valuation. Looking at our operating margin, it’s going to be less than 1%. We’re looking at eight-tenths of a percent op margin this year, but then we are forecasting a gradual improvement thereafter, forecasting 2.9% in 2026, increasing to 6.2% in 2029, and then by the end of our explicit forecast period in 2034, getting up to 7.5%. So just to put that in perspective, the average operating margin between 2010 and 2019 was 10.8%, and in fact the worst year that we saw prepandemic was 6.5%. So from an operating margin perspective, I think these numbers are probably pretty conservative and if the company’s top line is able to start growing again, I think there’s probably additional upside from there, but that’s just my own opinion. Now from an earnings perspective, it’s going to look bad. We’re looking for a loss of 50 cents per share this year, but we’re forecasting two dollars and 19 cents per share next year. That’d be 24 times earnings, which sounds pretty high, but we’re looking for three dollars and 45 cents in earnings in 2027. That brings your P/E multiple down to 15 times. And then four dollars and 94 cents in 2028, so that takes you down to 10 times earnings. So it’s really those out years that it looks much more attractive from that earnings basis. In my opinion, I think that our model here is probably pretty conservative. If we see additional upside, it’s going to come from that faster margin rebound. And I also got a couple notes from Jamie. She’s our equity analyst that covers it. A couple of things that she just wanted to highlight today was that the industry inventory levels are also much more improved from here. She thinks unit demand is at a trough at this point. And she also notes that the cost structure has been pruned over the past couple of years, so you will get that upside leverage when sales return to growth. Then lastly, as far as tariffs go, she doesn’t think it’ll be as bad as what the market is probably expecting at this point. And lastly, I just think that this is one of these stories where the market has been so hyperfocused on the top line decreases that it can’t see the long-term forest for the trees. David Sekera:
VPL-: ASO Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. $54.02-0.79(-1.44%)4:00 PM 08/15/25 NASDAQ |$USD |Post-Market:$53.23-0.79(-1.46%)5:59 PM reason: June 10 missed top and bottom line up ever since. Academy Sports + Outdoors is tipped by Monness Crespi & Hardt to see a share price breakout Aug. 04 Earnings Call Academy Sports outlines $5.97B-$6.26B sales range for 2025 amid tariff volatility and new brand launches Academy Sports raises FY25 EPS guidance based on favorable tariff outlook Jun. 10 Academy Sports and Outdoors misses top-line and bottom-line estimates; updates FY25 outlook Academy and Sports Outdoors is a sporting and outdoor recreational retailer in the U.S., operating 282 stores across 18 states. The company is the second-largest sporting goods retailer in the country. -attractive valuation at less than 5x adjusted EBITDA -high single-digit free cash flow yield, -record of strong sales and profit growth, - disciplined management plan and “Ft. Knox” balance sheet with net debt of about $100 million, long-term strategy to grow sales to $10 billion and net income margin to 10% by 2028, and its high-ROIC business model with limited capital requirements.