Gotta love ZERO RISK in the SP500 = $$$

Discussion in 'Trading' started by makloda, Jan 27, 2007.

  1. Nine_Ender

    Nine_Ender

    The last year back QQQ has gone up around the same as a decent money market fund. With more risk. So it is easy to discount what you are saying because it was a mediocre choice of investment the last year or so particularly in 2025 ytd. GDX is up 38.5% ytd versus that -8.5%.
     
    Last edited: Apr 28, 2025
    #28131     Apr 28, 2025
  2. Businessman

    Businessman

     
    #28132     Apr 28, 2025
  3. nitrene

    nitrene

    I don't believe SPY or QQQ can really get back to it's highs unless the megacap tech companies lead. They are just too heavily weighted for other sectors to lead. realistically.

    Alphabet's ER looked good but GOOGL didn't go anywhere. Probably the same thing will happen to the other megacaps this week. Netflix did well but it is quite small in marketcap compared the Mag7.

    The real problem SPY is just another momentum ETF which underperforms MTUM in good times.

    According to the data from my Schwab account the top 11 tech stocks in the SPY are worth ~$17.6 Trillion & the S&P 500 overall is $44.8 Trillion so that is 39% of the whole index. So if this group went sideways to lower the other 493 stocks would have to go a lot higher (there are currently 504 stocks in the SPY).

    [aapl msft nvda amzn meta goog+googl tsla avgo tsm nflx orcl]
    [3.1t 2.9t 2.7t 2t 1.4t 2t 917b 904b 856b 470b 390b]
     
    Last edited: Apr 28, 2025
    #28133     Apr 28, 2025
  4. kashirin

    kashirin

    this thread is almost 20 years and it has very simple lesson

    buy when fed starts printing

    they haven't started to print yet

    Powell very likely won't be bullied by trump like in 2018. He will wait till trump completely folds and cancel most of tariffs

    Generally I see it like Trump is a complete amatuer imbicile and is in the process of being tamed - in 6 months he likely will be copy of Biden

    and then will be time to buy
     
    Last edited: Apr 28, 2025
    #28134     Apr 28, 2025
  5. Time can be an odd, strange, funny thing the way humans live through it, process it, exists through it. Both good and bad, both right and wrong all at the same time

    I'm currently listening to The Shining 1980 soundtrack. The ballroom 1920's music scenes
     
    Last edited: Apr 28, 2025
    #28135     Apr 28, 2025
  6. Indeed..within 3 months Trump will fold like an Old Lawn Chair. All his war threats, all his tariff threats and all his deportation threats will be empty promises. I mean, he was president already...we know exactly what he is about. Pompous Wind Bag. Its crazy we have back to back demented presidents.
     
    #28136     Apr 28, 2025
  7. It's sad you have to remind me of my bad calls. YES THE MARKET DROPPED, but it made a V so congrats. I think we can agree the no risk part comes from the fact that the market does only go up. Every so often there is an emotional response to some news, but once the drop happens it's already on borrowed time and it's always getting a quick V. As long as no one panics and sells, you can't lose in this market.

    Look how unstoppable the thing is. It's never going down again.
     
    #28137     Apr 29, 2025
    EqtTrdr likes this.
  8. None of this MATTERS AT ALL! Wow this market is going to go to ATH in spite of everything. Truly the most unstoppable market of all time. It just keeps going up and really can't be stopped.
     
    #28138     Apr 29, 2025
  9. Businessman

    Businessman

    Are you going to post this type of retarded cheerleading every time the stock market has a small up day?
     
    Last edited: Apr 29, 2025
    #28139     Apr 29, 2025
  10. Thor

    Thor

    I was a bit early posting day before yesterday. :D

    Hope all are enjoying the ri$$$$$$k free monies. :banghead:
    Not a penny of ri$$$$$$$$$$k :p :D
     
    #28140     Apr 30, 2025