Would it be possible to use these % chance of expiring in the money to predict direction? Bro I never got this. If you know there is x % chance it will expire in the money, then you know where price will be, right? So sell or buy the stock in that direction and score??
That’s it. You cracked the code. I think ET just produced the world’s first trillionaire. Look up how delta relates to standard deviation to shed some light on what you are talking about there.
You lazy bastards!!!!!!!!!If you are trading the S&P,the return for selling 1 ATM put is much higher than buying 1 ATM call with a much better Sharpe...HOWEVER,when testing 30 day rolling options,the single worst drawdown for selling a put is 3x higher than buying the call..Now,you asked selling A put,not selling puts, as in plural.If you dont lever up,selling a put was a much better trade..HOWEVER,if you sell PUTS,your timing better be good,or you better be fast to buy that shit in...Anything else you want to know
You should be banned from ET for writing nonsense. No selling of an option has unlimited reward. The rest of you should be banned for not catching this nonsense. This thread is pathetic except for the comment by taowave.
That was not sarcasm but your general level of ignorance. BMK caught you in one error. I recognized your 2nd error. Your writing is truly pathetic.
After all this time I am surprised you still do not recognize my style. *shrugs* You always have the cheap way out with the ignore function. That always leads to uninterrupted threads. <---------That is sarcasm. See it?
He continues to compound his mistakes with his remarks. Some option beginners might believe his ranting.