In general, 2x risk free rate pa and sharpe >= 1. The subtle difference between trading and investing is frequency/opportunity. In investing, your opportunity is only when you have money and invest it. In trading, you open the biggest % of balance/equity per trade according to risk of ruin calculation. The aim is to grow money fast at optimum level (without ruin). The trade frequency plays a huge role.
The $100K questions, for most of us amateur retails are: 1. How do I get to $100K as quickly as possible? 2. Once I have $100K, if I can return better than SPY, how many years do I need before I can quit my day job and trade full time? 3. Hope we are lucky enough to start during a raging bull market. Even for ETs, luck is a major factor. Most of us started with nothing. From nothing to $100K is very hard. After $100K the magic of compounding will get us there in a reasonable amount of time if we can do better than SPY. As for your OP, very few can do 5%-10% better CAGR than SPY over 20-30 years.
Asking such a question suggests you are a noob. No worries, we all start out that way. In your early times/years, you likely won't make much... presuming you're profitable at all. As you get better, your gains can sky if you stay with it and develop. (Years ago, I thought 20%/year should be "par". I used to count the number of "40% gain years".... then I went on to counting only "100% +" gain years. Those are fewer... easier to keep track of. )
Try a MonteCarlo simulation. Risk 2 to Win 3. You place 1 bet per day. Let’s say it’s a coin flip (50%). Risk 10% per bet (Kelly is 17%). ES is biased upward, Daily range is about 65pts, Buy Open, SL -26pts & TP +39Pts.