Option Question about Delta

Discussion in 'Options' started by the, Dec 29, 2011.

  1. Yes, it is, atticus.

    Delta will predict the change to within 5 cents of the option's change, and that's good enough for me.
     
    #111     Jan 11, 2012
  2. de minimis!
     
    #112     Jan 11, 2012
  3. Vola increasing to a double is indeterminate as to when the market will recognize this change, and I'm not pulling greeks from nowhere. We're talking about delta.
     
    #113     Jan 11, 2012
  4. I've said the option will move $1 if the underlying does. I'm just saying it's unlikely.
     
    #114     Jan 11, 2012
  5. We are sorta attempting to talk about delta. Let's say, as a purely hypothetical exercise (recall the academic vacuum), that vola did rise to 70%. Can you approximate the 5-strike delta with shares also at 5? (Shhh, let's dream it's determinate-able).

    Is this beyond your vast capabilities as a Master qu(a)nt?
     
    #115     Jan 11, 2012
  6. rmorse

    rmorse Sponsor

    If you were pricing a binary option, how would you calculate the value? You have to calculate the probability of the security being in the money on expiration.
     
    #116     Jan 11, 2012
  7. <i>
    Delta's not a probability. It isn't likely FTR will move $1 which is what we'd expect the option to move. Since it won't, the option will behave according to delta up until the point where options call buyers realize it's going up to the next strike, and that will change delta's value whenever that happens. </i>

    If you read this with better than 8th grade comprehension, you'll see that I did say that we would expect the option to move $1 but the likelihood FTR really does isn't high.
     
    #117     Jan 11, 2012
  8. I can't fix you, Beau. I can only bear witness to the carnage.
     
    #118     Jan 11, 2012
  9. You're so immature sometimes, atticus.

    Read it again. It's obvious I know the option <i>should move $1.</i>
     
    #119     Jan 11, 2012
  10. Should, but....
     
    #120     Jan 11, 2012