Pre-earnings vol plays

Discussion in 'Journals' started by AllergicToMoney, May 27, 2025.

  1. Only with SLs and provided there is enough in skew and term structure to make it possible.
     
    #11     May 29, 2025
    AllergicToMoney likes this.
  2. I love these trades but not finding a lot of them. And I usually use 1:2 ratio.

    About ADBE trade. You are shorting 26 pre report vols and long 50 + post report?
     
    #12     May 29, 2025
  3. spy

    spy

    Without being able to automate the search process via software these deals are just capricious excursions for hobbyists.

     
    Last edited: May 29, 2025
    #13     May 29, 2025
  4. Thanks, still a lot to learn on my side :)
     
    #14     May 29, 2025
    demoncore likes this.
  5. yes
     
    #15     May 29, 2025
  6. newwurldmn

    newwurldmn

    what’s the point of being short the front expy. It’s like 25 vol.
     
    #16     May 29, 2025
  7. I don't know how to structure better. Hoping that I will gain more (or lose less) on front than on back
     
    #17     May 30, 2025
  8. Update Trade 1 - ADBE, 85.37 debit:
    Bleeding a bit, MTM ~84. It isn't moving, 10 days in 3% range :vomit:
     
    #18     May 30, 2025
  9. I do both long AND short Calendars (pre-event vs. post-event), but I would never place a Long Calendar with front to back vols ratio of 42% (24:56) UNLESS you are sure that long position combo will be unchanged 7 days before reporting week (when front is expired).

    So for me ADBE is a candidate for a short calendar.

    No position, just my 2 cents
     
    #19     May 31, 2025

  10. You're so out of your depth it's comical. IV has been doing this for decades. vol switches into the report, post. Dispersion since the early 00s.

    Why don't you shut the fuck up?
     
    #20     May 31, 2025