RB contango?

Discussion in 'Commodity Futures' started by farmerjohn1324, Oct 22, 2020.

  1. I own RBM21 (June 2021) currently at $1.2785.

    Should I expect the price to automatically decline as it approaches expiration? Similar to time decay in options?

    Here is a list of prices for RB contracts...

    RBX20 (November 2020) = 1.1334
    RBZ20 (December 2020) = 1.1218
    RBF21 (January 2021) = 1.1206
    RBG21 (February 2021) = 1.1323
    RBH21 (March 2021) = 1.1486
    RBJ21 (April 2021) = 1.26
    RBK21 (May 2021) = 1.2747
    RBM21 (June 2021) = 1.2785

    What's the reason for the big jump from March to April 2021?
     
  2. maxinger

    maxinger

    The further month contracts have very low volume
    price can jump up or down massively.
     
  3. I have never seen my contract RBM21 as low as the front 5 months. Does that tell you anything?
     
  4. BKR88

    BKR88

    https://www.convenience.org/Topics/Fuels/Changing-Seasons-Changing-Gas-Prices
     
  5. Overnight

    Overnight

    Don't worry...If a pipeline explodes somewhere carrying the RB, you'll see the numbers flip. :)
     
  6. BKR88

    BKR88

    No.
    What appears to be contango is just the transition from winter blend to summer blend.