S&P 500 Futures (SP) Seasonal Chart

Discussion in 'Financial Futures' started by Sekiyo, Jul 4, 2020.

  1. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

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    Anyone trade seasonality ?
    Maybe it's more related to commodity trading ?
     
  2. Someone posted a heatmap years ago that proved very accurate. Im sure the very smart traders incorporate it into their trading.
     
  3. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    I am going to check day by day seasonality,
    Maybe I can find one holy day. LMAO.

    Here is another chart
    upload_2020-7-4_13-19-26.png
     
    athlonmank8 likes this.
  4. drm7

    drm7

    If you really want to dig into it, seasonalgo and MRCI (both paid services) are the best sources for ideas. I papertraded some Seasonalgo seasonals about 2 years ago and was moderately "profitable." I think the ags/meats/softs make more sense than financial contracts (currencies/indicies/bonds).
     
    apdxyk likes this.
  5. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Agree on the commodity side.
    Here is mrci hypothetical equity curves :
    https://www.mrci.com/results/mrciport.php

    Not impressive lately
     
  6. Fonz

    Fonz

    Except for day trading, I always check seasonal before anything else. But I would never trade only on a seasonal pattern, only on fundamentals or only on a chart indicator.

    Seasonal analysis is really overlooked. The average of the past 20 years, display on a chart will not tell anyone when to buy and when to sell. Sorry for adept of the "KISS" in trading (Gurus love that), it is just way more complicated.
    I also agree on the commodity side and I will add all kind of indices.
     
    murray t turtle likes this.
  7. %%
    Or put another way , anybody not use part of that top seasonal chart ??
    Looks fairy helpful; except JAN seems to be in error/due to high probability of JAN market forcaster pattern.[50 years data]
    IN other words JAN tends to be up more than FEB.
    Good chart...………………………………………………………………………………………………………….