Schizo Greybox Trading

Discussion in 'Journals' started by schizo, Oct 11, 2015.

  1. schizo

    schizo

    LONG 2007.50

    +1.00

    ========

    Cumulative P/L for the night:

    +0.50
    +1.25
    +1.00
    ______

    +2.75
     
    Last edited: Oct 13, 2015
    #111     Oct 13, 2015
  2. schizo

    schizo

    SHORT 2008.50

    +1.00

    CUM P/L: 3.75
     
    #112     Oct 13, 2015
  3. carrer

    carrer

    I am not sure if you are using indicators in your system. For instance, if you are using 2 MAs and you optimise the parameters to 'suit' the market, then it will likely fail sooner or later.

    I would say most strategies have some degree of curve-fitting to fit the market's behaviour. Without it you will not gain statistical advantage. However, the curve-fitting should be made in such away that it exploits the overall market behaviour for a significant amount of period where it gives you a concrete statistical advantage. Curve-fitting on a limited amount of period will only reflect the market's behaviour in that particular period and will not likely work in other periods.
     
    #113     Oct 13, 2015
  4. schizo

    schizo

    LONG 2008.25

    +0.25

    CUM P/L: 4.00
     
    #114     Oct 13, 2015
  5. schizo

    schizo

    Thanks. Those are all valid points worth remembering. I did make a minor tweak that is helping me stay out of the chop zone for the night.

    Truth be told, my understanding of backtesting is rather limited. Sometimes, I wonder if it's worth spending so much time and energy for something that has no guarantee that it would work.
     
    Last edited: Oct 13, 2015
    #115     Oct 13, 2015
  6. schizo

    schizo

    SHORT 2007

    -1.25

    CUM P/L: 2.75
     
    #116     Oct 13, 2015
  7. schizo

    schizo

    LONG 2007

    +0.00

    CUM P/L: 2.75
     
    #117     Oct 13, 2015
  8. schizo

    schizo

    SHORT 2008

    +1.00

    CUM P/L: 3.75
     
    #118     Oct 13, 2015
  9. You're on the the right road. Truth be told, you're mastering a great skill. Anyone who's able to religiously stick to a system is light years ahead of most of the people out there. Just stick with it.
     
    #119     Oct 13, 2015
  10. schizo

    schizo

    OUT 2008.75

    -0.75

    CUM P/L: 3.00

    Wrapping up for the night. Although it ain't as good as my discretionary trading, the result wasn't too shabby. :rolleyes::)
     
    #120     Oct 13, 2015
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