The Super Terrific Happy Hour

Discussion in 'Journals' started by Max E., May 19, 2017.

  1. Max E.

    Max E.

    VSLR lost 201 million last year, and it looks like they got about 167 million in cash and cash equivalents, so they have about 9 months - 1 year before they have to raise money.

    Id like to see less than three months, so you know they absolutely need to raise money ASAP in this scenario.

    Also Oil is going down so i would expect their margins to be getting squeezed even worse now, so that number might be getting worse, but its still not right down to the wire, they have a bit of time.
     
    Last edited: Jun 20, 2017
    #401     Jun 20, 2017
  2. Max E.

    Max E.

    In order to find those numbers im going to Yahoo finance, and just looking at the Balance sheet for total "Current Assets" and then going to the income statement and looking at the "Operating income or loss".

    Those are a simplified version of the numbers, obviously if money is piling into R&D on something like a biotech they can cut their expenses heavily, but im not going to rip apart an income statement and a balance sheet that hard, if it doesnt stand out to me that badly.

    This is important with parabolic shorts though cause if you see something that has like 1 month worth of cash left and the company is up like 300% you know goddamn well that an offering is coming.
     
    #402     Jun 20, 2017
    Chuck Krug likes this.
  3. Max E.

    Max E.

    With something like VSLR its not something where its put in a gigantic parabolic 4-500% move, but the chart looks parabolic, the volume and the price bars both look toppy when you compare it to its own chart. There might not be much in it, like 50-60 ticks, but its coming.

    Since i changed back to IB though its really tough to find short shares most of the time on this kind of move, so i might be over hyping myself on this one.
     
    #403     Jun 20, 2017
  4. upload_2017-6-21_11-54-7.png
     
    #404     Jun 21, 2017
    Max E. likes this.
  5. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    .45 now
     
    #405     Jun 21, 2017
    Chuck Krug likes this.
  6. upload_2017-6-21_18-9-14.png
     
    #406     Jun 21, 2017
    Max E. likes this.
  7. Max E.

    Max E.

    Another super boring day for me, VSLR gapped down so didnt want to chase it, nothing else that really looked all that interesting to me.
     
    #407     Jun 21, 2017
  8. vanzandt

    vanzandt

    Put XBI on the radar. Wait for a confirmation of a breakdown.
     
    #408     Jun 21, 2017
    Max E. likes this.
  9. Check out: CELG and OMER
    CELG looks hyperbolic
    Omer short when it breaks down.
     
    #409     Jun 22, 2017
    Max E. and vanzandt like this.
  10. sss12

    sss12

    @vanzandt do you prefer XBI over IBB as the underlying ? why ? thanks
     
    #410     Jun 22, 2017