To do or not to do?

Discussion in 'Stocks' started by wxytrader, Aug 5, 2025 at 10:54 PM.

  1. wxytrader

    wxytrader

    I don't think so...

    ✅ Final Answer comparing 5k invested

    $5,000 at $295/share buys 16.95 COIN shares

    To match $50,000 in compounded CONY value after 5 years of dividends
    COIN must reach $3,130.68 per share
     
    Last edited: Aug 6, 2025 at 9:55 AM
  2. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    The question was about MARO / CONY
    Guess GPT lost the thread ?
     
  3. wxytrader

    wxytrader

    Oh I thought you were comparing the pairs coin/cony....anyway this isn't about the performance it's about the immediate affect of the lateral move.

    Is realizing a loss now the same economically as not taking a loss and paying more for the same position?
     
  4. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Now -> 1 MARO = 2.75 CONY
    After -> 1 MARO = 2.25 CONY
     
  5. wxytrader

    wxytrader


    Selling and buying real estate comparison:

    Scenario A – Stay Put

    Buy for $500K

    Value drops to $400K

    Hold → value recovers to $500K

    No loss realized, end value: $500K


    Scenario B – Sell + Rebuy

    Buy for $500K

    Sell at $400K → $100K loss realized

    Buy identical house at $400K

    Value recovers to $500K → $100K gain

    End value: $500K


    ✅ Same outcome, different paper trail
    One books a loss and gain, the other just rides it out.
     
  6. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    Same outcome only if they are 100% "correlated".
    The less "correlated" they are,
    The more uncertainties.
     
    Last edited: Aug 6, 2025 at 10:48 AM
  7. wxytrader

    wxytrader

    Close enough...both track Bitcoin and Maro slightly higher return...so whether flat, up or down makes no difference for this lateral move from CONY to MARO.
     
  8. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    ±50% is close enough
     
  9. wxytrader

    wxytrader

    Where are you getting the 50% from LOL
     
  10. Sekiyo

    Sekiyo

    From the MARO/CONY spread chart.
    1 MARO is worth btw 2 & 3 CONY
    (3-2)/2 = 50%