Trading in Luxury

Discussion in 'Journals' started by traderlux, Dec 5, 2009.

  1. SPY preview Wk of 2/6/23, 2nd wk expiry for Feb, 2023, fri 2/10.

    Options pricing +/-$7.50 move, +/-1.85%, last fri close 412.35, possible range of 400 to 420 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 400 to 420 range could hold.
    Looks like some hedging at 410 with puts.

    Jan month open 384.37, red on first trade day, then green to finish the month at 406.45.

    Feb month open was 405.21, it is staying green so far. Usually Feb will be a green month if Jan is green.
     
    #561     Feb 3, 2023
  2. SPY preview Wk of 2/13/23, 3rd wk and monthly expiry for Feb, 2023, fri 2/17.

    Options pricing +/-$10.50 move, +/-2.60%, last fri close 408.04, possible range of 397.50 to 420 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, very large, indicate 375 to 420 range could hold.

    Jan month open 384.37, red on first trade day, then green to finish the month at 406.45.

    Feb month open was 405.21, it is staying green so far. Usually Feb will be a green month if Jan is green.
     
    #562     Feb 10, 2023
    beginner66 likes this.
  3. SPY preview Wk of 2/27/23, 1st wk expiry for March, 2023, fri 3/3.

    Options pricing +/-$7.70 move, +/-2.00%, last fri close 396.38, possible range of 389 to 404 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 380/390 to 420/425 range could hold.

    Feb month open was 405.21, it was staying green, turned red last week, it is 2.20% below the open.
    Usually Feb will be a green month if Jan is green, it was, but not looking good for Feb, 2 days left.
     
    #563     Feb 24, 2023
  4. SPY preview Wk of 3/06/23, 2nd wk expiry for March, 2023, fri 3/10.

    Options pricing +/-$7.60 move, +/-2.00%, last fri close 404.19, possible range of 396.5 to 412 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 390/400 to 405/410 range could hold, strange range?

    Feb month open was 405.21, it was staying green, turned red last week, and closed red.
    Usually Feb will be a green month if Jan is green, Jan was green, but Feb gave up.

    March month open was 395.41, it went red on its first trade day, but closed the week green.
     
    #564     Mar 3, 2023
  5. SPY preview Wk of 3/13/23, 3rd wk, and monthly and quad expiry for March, 2023, fri 3/17.
    FED emergency closed meeting Mon 3/13. SIVB bank failure last week Thu.

    Options pricing +/-$11.50 move, +/-3.00%, last fri close 385.91, possible range of 374.5 to 397.5 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 360 to 430 range could hold.

    March month open was 395.41, it went red on its first trade day, went green the next day.
    Started last week still green, then went red thu and fri, with SIVB bank failure.
     
    #565     Mar 11, 2023
    beginner66 likes this.
  6. SPY preview Wk of 3/20/23, 4th wk expiry for March, 2023, fri 3/24.
    Last week bank failures and bailouts were the event drivers.
    FOMC meeting this tue wed with rate release on wed 3/22.

    Options pricing +/-$12.00 move, +/-3.10%, last fri close 389.99, possible range of 378 to 402 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 335 to 400 range could hold.

    March month open was 395.41, it went red on its first trade day, went green the next day.
    Started week before last week still green, then went red thu and fri, with SIVB bank failure.
    Last week it was red mon thru wed, slight green thur, red on fri.
     
    #566     Mar 18, 2023
  7. SPY preview Wk of 3/27/23, 5th and final wk expiry for March, 2023, fri 3/31.
    Last week bank failures and bailouts were the event drivers again.
    Talk from Powell and Yellen also moved markets around.

    Options pricing +/-$8.75 move, +/-2.20%, last fri close 395.75, possible range of 387.25 to 404.75 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 350 to 420 range could hold.

    March month open was 395.41, been bouncing between red and green all month, last week ended slightly green.
    One more week to end the month and the 1st qtr of 2023
     
    #567     Mar 24, 2023
  8. SPY preview Wk of 4/3/23, 1st wk expiry for April, 2023, thu 4/6.
    Market closed for Good Friday Holiday, fri 4/7.

    Options pricing +/-$5.82 move, +/-1.50%, last fri close 409.39, possible range of 404 to 415.50 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 400 to 415 range could hold.

    March month open 395.41, bounce around between red and green all month, last week ended month solid green.
    384.37 was 1st qtr open of 2023, so ist qtr also ended solid green.
     
    #568     Mar 31, 2023
  9. SPY preview Wk of 4/10/23, 2nd wk expiry for April, 2023, Fri 4/14.
    Minutes from last FED meeting to be released on Wed 4/12.

    Options pricing +/-$7.50 move, +/-1.85%, last fri close 409.19, possible range of 402 to 417 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 400 to 420 range could hold.

    April month open 408.85, bounce around between red and green last week, but ended week green.
    384.37 was 1st qtr open of 2023, so we are holding green for the year so far.
     
    #569     Apr 7, 2023
  10. SPY preview Wk of 4/17/23, 3rd wk and monthly expiry for April, 2023, Fri 4/21.

    Options pricing +/-$5.50 move, +/-1.35%, last fri close 412.46, possible range of 407 to 418 for this week.
    Option volume, open interest for puts, calls, indicate 385 to 430 range could hold.

    April month open 408.85, last week all days green except small red on Wed, but ended week green.
    384.37 was 1st qtr open of 2023, so we are holding green for the year.
     
    #570     Apr 15, 2023