Hilarious. You wouldn't lay 3:1 when you believe you have a guaranteed win (99%+ chance)??? Here fishy fishy fishy
Those betting odds are really only great when there are numerous trials. In this case there is only one trial.
So you are saying that you wouldn't bet 3$ to win 1$ on a Roulette Spin where if it doesn't land on your number, you win??? Are there this many stupid people actually trading in the markets today?
So what you are saying is that you are a sucker. If the Patriots were even money to the Browns, I'd bet on em. Wow. That's deep.
The only reason you pussies won't lay 3:1 on CLINTON to win is because you don't actually think she will win.
The problem is, if you're applying sound money management, let's assume $3 is 1/200 of your roll, then the bet, since it will be only one trial anyway, is worth little more than stopping to pick up a quarter, in other words, who cares if you make it or not. On the other hand, if you want to win some real money, then you're likely betting most if not all of your roll. The assumption may be that if you lose you'll just rebuild your roll, but... you have no more trials.