In other words, Reekter and Phony just aren't as sure of these polls as they would like you to believe. They realize, but they pretend otherwise, that they Just Might Lose.
I ran some numbers. Basically you bet $20 for every $200 you have to bet on this type of bet. Assuming her chances are 80% , you have a very good chance to walk away with 16.5% on your money if you had ten opportunities to spread out your $200 bet.
Good work on that, I like it. You and I no doubt wish we could find such odds and expectation on a bet we could make thousands or tens of thousands of times!
I signed up at Bovada and got a 50% Welcome Bonus that is applicable to the presidential election (subcategory of sports). They take US players. Had to show ID to deposit. I deposited bitcoin. They have many more types of presidential bets than just who wins. Popular votes by state. Overall pop vote. Electoral vote. More. Even Stark could find something to bet on. They have a friend's referral thing. I posted the link in my profile page. Here is some info: "Here’s what your friends get: Once they join, we'll make sure your friends get started off right with up to $3,250 in welcome bonuses and instant access to our fully-loaded sportsbook, racebook and casino."
A few days ago they were paying out about $38 for the same $20 bet. So odds have improved, even as Trump has risen in the polls. I consider Trump's real chances to be 50%. So I think it's a good binary-type bet, especially if I end up using my 50% Welcome Bonus toward it. I've got $20 to bet every day, if there was such a bet every day. Now, Soros says Trump will win popular but lose electoral. You can bet on any kind of pop vote too.