The point about traders' psychology or supply & demand and buyers & sellers is obvious. But my purpose is to find things that can predict how they will behave like order flow, market sentiment, cot reports, big institutions positions. While fed might move FX and even commodity to a small extent, I am not sure the fed moves the stock market much And if i may ask, anyone knows a broker that has free oderflow charts included in its software? (even if only in demo). I am based in europe btw. Thanks
Most big corporations(AMZN, AAPL, MSFT) with good fundamental are held by big investment firms. None of these corp will be there forever, e.g. GE. Next are the growth corps where it bring in no profit but with sky high expectation... these are playground big investment firms, hedgeez, retails etc. Of course, there are those which are almost dead but offer a glimmer of hope e.g. GME. As the saying goes, 1 in 10 make money. Never following the retails. Who moves the market, all of the above. Stan Weinstein's 4 stages of price movement is a good guide. Depending on your strategy, just pick the stage for your attack! Alas! The market manipulators seem to know these stages and lay traps like the venus flytrap waiting to snare its next prey.
The market moves when least expected. So stop wasting your time looking for magical answers. Just glue your butt to the chair, and your eyes to the screens for hours.
I'd say technicals with the occasional news shock. During Trumps reign those tweets could really move the market. I believe the majority of trading volume today is done algorithmically (does not need to be high frequency / low latency strategies) and I see technical levels on a daily and weekly basis work over and over again. When one side of the market gets too crowded it can really amplify moves in the other direction. For example last week when everyone and his dog was a bear. But I suppose that can also be characterized as 'technical'. It's just the explanation of the 'why'.
Buyers and sellers. Not sure why people focus on much else. As a poster elluded...don't fight the fed. Not being a dick...but focus on trying to understand the relationship between buyers and sellers. Everything else is just noise.
It's threads like these.... Circa 2001 Yahoo dejavu all over again. We're near a top. Let it go to the moon... but I don't care.... we're near a top. The higher it goes, the lower its gonna fall. "What moves markets?" Gimmee a f'n break.. We need to get K-12 up and running again. That said.... f it.... I'll take their money.
I think demand/supply and major events occurring across the strong economies of the world move the market on a daily basis.